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베이즈 정리를 이용한 부품 또는 서브시스템의 고장 확률 계산 Probability Calculation of Component or Subsystem Failure used by Bayes Formula

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대한안전경영과학회지
제3권 제2호 (2001.06)
pp.123-131
대한안전경영과학회 (Korea Safety Management & Science)
초록

Reliability calculation of a system is frequently required in industrial, military, and everyday life situations. For such a calculation, it is necessary to specify the configuration of components and subsystems, the failure mode of each component, and the states in which the system is classified as failed. In this paper, we are primary interested in the time to the first failure of a system. And we discuss failure probability of coherent system under various condition, especially focus on probability calculation of subsystem failure before system failure used by Bayes formula. Problem statement and general applications illustrated by several examples.

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