KOREASCHOLAR

결합 예측 기법을 이용한 간헐 수요에 대한 수요예측 Demand forecasting for intermittent demand using combining forecasting method

권익현
  • 언어KOR
  • URLhttp://db.koreascholar.com/Article/Detail/321730
대한안전경영과학회지
제18권 제4호 (2016.12)
pp.161-169
대한안전경영과학회 (Korea Safety Management & Science)
초록

In this research, we propose efficient demand forecasting scheme for intermittent demand. For this purpose, we first extensively analyze the drawbacks of the existing forecasting methods such as Croston method and Syntetos-Boylan approximation, then using these findings we propose the new demand forecasting method. Our goal is to develop forecasting method robust across many situations, not necessarily optimal for a limited number of specific situations. For this end, we adopt combining forecasting method that utilizes unbiased forecasting methods such as simple exponential smoothing and simple moving average. Various simulation results show that the proposed forecasting method performed better than the existing forecasting methods.

저자
  • 권익현(인제대학교 산업경영공학과) | Ick-Hyun Kwon Corresponding Author