In this study, as part of the paradigm shift for manufacturing innovation, data from the multi-stage cold forging process was collected and based on this, a big data analysis technique was introduced to examine the possibility of quality prediction. In order for the analysis algorithm to be applied, the data collection infrastructure corresponding to the independent variable affecting the quality was built first. Similarly, an infrastructure for collecting data corresponding to the dependent variable was also built. In addition, a data set was created in the form of an independent variable-dependent variable, and the prediction accuracy of the quality prediction model according to the traditional statistical analysis and the tree-based regression model corresponding to the big data analysis technique was compared and analyzed. Lastly, the necessity of changing the manufacturing environment for the use of big data analysis in the manufacturing process was added.