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Development of Yield Forecast Models for Autumn Chinese Cabbage and Radish Using Crop Growth and Development Information

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한국유기농업학회지 (Korea Journal of Organic Agriculture)
한국유기농업학회 (Korea Association Of Organic Agriculture)
초록

This study suggests the yield forecast models for autumn chinese cabbage and radish using crop growth and development information. For this, we construct 24 alternative yield forecast models and compare the predictive power using root mean square percentage errors. The results shows that the predictive power of model including crop growth and development informations is better than model which does not include those informations. But the forecast errors of best forecast models exceeds 5%. Thus it is important to establish reliable data and improve forecast models.

저자
  • 이춘수(단국대학교 환경자원경제학과 강사) | Lee, Choon-Soo
  • 양성범(단국대학교 환경자원경제학과 조교수) | Yang, Sung-Bum Corresponding author