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다중기기 손상 상관성에 의한 지진리스크 영향 분석 KCI 등재

Influence Analysis of Seismic Risk due to the Failure Correlation in Seismic Probabilistic Safety Assessment

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한국지진공학회 (Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea)
초록

The seismic safety of nuclear power plants has always been emphasized by the effects of accidents. In general, the seismic safety evaluation of nuclear power plants carries out a seismic probabilistic safety assessment. The current probabilistic safety assessment assumes that damage to the structure, system, and components (SSCs) occurs independently to each other or perfect dependently to each other. In case of earthquake events, the failure event occurs with the correlation due to the correlation between the seismic response of the SSCs and the seismic performance of the SSCs. In this study, the EEMS (External Event Mensuration System) code is developed which can perform the seismic probabilistic safety assessment considering correlation. The developed code is verified by comparing with the multiplier n, which is for calculating the joint probability of failure, which is proposed by Mankamo. It is analyzed the changes in seismic fragility curves and seismic risks with correlation. As a result, it was confirmed that the seismic fragility curves and seismic risk change according to the failure correlation coefficient. This means that it is important to select an appropriate failure correlation coefficient in order to perform a seismic probabilistic safety assessment. And also, it was confirmed that carrying out the seismic probabilistic safety assessment in consideration of the seismic correlation provides more realistic results, rather than providing conservative or non-conservative results comparing with that damage to the SSCs occurs independently.

목차
A B S T R A C T
 1. 서 론
 2. 상관성을 고려한 지진취약도
  2.1 상관성을 고려한 동시손상확률의 계산
  2.2 상관성에 의한 지진취약도의 변화
 3. 상관성을 고려한 지진리스크
  3.1 완전독립에 의한 TsEsUX 지진리스크 분석
  3.2 완전종속에 의한 TsEsUX 지진리스크 분석
  3.3 상관성에 의한 TsEsUX 지진리스크 분석
 4. 결 론
 REFERENCES
저자
  • 임승현(한국원자력연구원, 구조지진안전연구실) | Eem Seung-Hyun (Structural and Seismic Safety Research Team, Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute) Corresponding author
  • 최인길(한국원자력연구원, 구조지진안전연구실) | Choi In-Kil (Structural and Seismic Safety Research Team, Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute)