The purposes of this study were to classify detailed climate types over the Republic of Korea (ROK) and to delineate their climate characteristics using the new normals of 1991-2020 for 219 weather stations. Total five climate types, Cfa, Cfb, Cwa, Dwa, and Dwb were identified in ROK based on the Köppen’s climate classification criteria. Subtropical climate types, Cfa or Cwa types were broadly covered with 79.9% of 219 stations and the most of remaining stations were included in Dwa types which had a very cold winter and hot summer with wet conditions. In the Trewartha classification, four climate types were identified, one subtropical Cfa, and three temperate Doa, Dca, and Dcb types. Dcb types were found at four stations (Daegwallyeong, Taebaek, Jinburyeong, and Sabuk) in Taebak mountains indicating the extent of cool summer climate types with more stations in mountain areas. The climate characteristics by climate types only were presented the results from the Trewartha classification with the new normals and 66 ASOS stations because Köppen’s climate classification was not appropriate for ROK. The annual mean precipitation of Cfa was the greatest while Dcb the lowest among four types. The annual range was the greatest at Dca types while the smallest at Cfa due to the geographical varieties. More detailed climate types were located in ROK with 219 weather stations and the new normals (1991-2020). However, there were some limitation applying the criteria of Köppen’s and Trewartha’s climate classification to a very complex topographical region.
The present study aims to analyze climate change and trend of extreme temperature events occurred over the Republic of Korea. The observation data used are daily average, maximum, and minimum temperature from 6 weather stations for the period of 1912-2020. Seven extreme indices regarding frequency and extreme value of temperature are calculated in seasonal and annual time range. In addition, hot extremes and their changes by four physical terms that include information on the annual mean temperature, the amplitude of the annual cycle, the diurnal temperature range and the local temperature anomaly on the day of the extreme are analyzed. The climatology for the analysis is updated to the new normal year of 1991-2020. Consistent with the previous findings, statistically significant change was detected in the indices of annual lowest daily minimum temperature, annual extreme temperature range, frequency of daily minimum temperature below -12℃ and 10%ile(TN10p) during winter. Due to the gradual decrease of the occurrence days regarding the extreme minimum temperature during winter, the frequency calculated by the relative threshold in extreme high temperature during summer prevail since 1990s. Indices related with extreme high temperature had larger low-frequency variability than significant climate change during the analysis period. However, the assessment of hot extremes according to the terms describing mean, variability and tails during the new normal year of 1991-2020, significant increasing trend was detected not only in the annual mean and the amplitude of the seasonal cycle, but also in the daily hot extreme anomaly.
삼광 금-은 광상은 과거에 한국에서 가장 큰 금-은 광상들 중의 하나이다. 이 광상 주변지질은 선캠 브리아기의 변성퇴적암류와 이를 부정합으로 피복한 쥐라기 백운사층으로 구성된다. 이 광상은 선캠브리아기 의 변성퇴적암류내에 발달된 열극대를 충진한 8개조의 석영맥으로 구성된 조산형 금-은 광상이다. 이 광상에 는 일반적으로 엽리상 석영맥이 관찰되며 석영, 철백운석, 백색운모, 녹니석, 인회석, 금홍석, 유비철석, 섬아 연석, 황동석 및 방연석 등으로 구성된다. 엽리상 석영맥과 모암변질에서 산출되는 백색운모의 화학조성은 (K1.02-0.82Na0.02-0.00Ca0.00)(Al1.73-1.58Mg0.26-0.16Fe0.23-0.10Mn0.00Ti0.03-0.01Cr0.01-0.00)(Si3.35-3.22Al0.79-0.65)O10(OH)2 및 (K0.75-0.67Na0.01 Ca0.00) (Al1.78-1.74Mg0.16-0.15Fe0.15-0.13Mn0.00Ti0.04-0.02Cr0.01-0.00)(Si3.33-3.26Al0.74-0.67)O10(OH)2로써 엽리상 석영맥에서 산출되 는 백색운모에서 층간 양이온(K+Na+Ca)과 팔면체 자리에서의 Fe+Mg+Mn+Ti 함량이 높게 산출된다. 이 광 상의 엽리상 석영맥에서 산출되는 백색운모의 화학조성 변화는 팬자이틱 또는 Tschermark 치환((Al3+)VI+ (Al3+)IV <> (Fe2+ 또는 Mg2+)VI+(Si4+)IV) 및 직접적인 (Fe3+)VI <> (Al3+)VI 치환에 의해 일어났음을 알 수 있 다. 엽리상 석영맥에서 산출되는 철백운석은 결정방향에 따라 서로 다른 상들이 교호하며 산출되며 이들 상 들에서는 FeO 및 MgO 함량 변화가 관찰된다. 따라서 삼광 금-은 광상의 엽리상 석영맥 형성은 조산형 금- 은 광상의 형성 시 주 광화시기인 연성전단(ductile shear) 시기에 형성되었음을 알 수 있다.
Pigeon pea (Cajanus cajan) is an important legume species that produces seeds that are rich in phenolic compounds and dietary nutrients. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the agricultural characters, phenolic and nutritional contents, and antioxidant capacities of seeds from 82 pigeon pea germplasms cultivated in the Republic of Korea. The accessions exhibited compact (24.39%), semi-spreading (74.39%), or spreading (1.22%) growth habits and determinate (89.02%), indeterminate (8.54%), or semi-determinate (2.44%) flowering patterns. Days to 75% maturity ranged from 30 to 72 d, and yield per plant ranged from 6.00 to 148.60 g. Meanwhile, total phenolic, crude protein, crude fiber, and dietary fiber contents ranged from 16.42 ± 0.62 to 29.67 ± 0.43 ㎎ gallic acid equivalent per g of dried extract, from 16.76 ± 6.74% to 22.61 ± 0.05%, from 4.70 ± 0.24 to 8.63 ± 0.02%, and from 12.98 ± 0.71 to 33.19 ± 1.50%, respectively. In addition, DPPH radical-scavenging capacity ranged from 1.61 ± 0.10 to 16.04 ± 2.30 ㎎ ascorbic acid equivalent per g of dried extract, and Trolox equivalent antioxidant capacity ranged from 3.03 ± 0.86 to 42.24 ± 0.72 ㎎ Trolox equivalent per g of dried extract. Phenolic content was correlated with both DPPH radical-scavenging capacity (r = 0.63) and Trolox equivalent antioxidant capacity (r = 0.29). Nine accessions (IT170290, IT170291, IT170270, IT170276, IT170379, IT170386, IT170388, IT170418, and IT170340) exhibited early maturity, compact and erect growth habits, and above average antioxidant activities and phenolic and protein contents. In addition, accessions IT170290 and IT170291 were especially promising pigeon pea germplasms to grow, owing to various favorable characteristics (e.g., high yield and dietary fiber content). Hence, these accessions could be useful cultivars to the Republic of Korea if considered in future agricultural systems.
The establishment of invasive alien species management is widely recognized as a pivotal issue in the preservation of biodiversity. Ranunculus sardous Crantz, a species native to Europe, has been widely introduced in many other areas of the world, including the coasts of the United States, Australia, China, India, and Japan. In Korea, the first population of this plant was found growing adjacent to a wetland in Hanon, Seogwipo-si, Jeju Province, on 22 May 2018. Field observations confirmed the presences of at least two populations of this species in Jeju Province, Korea. This species is similar to Ranunculus sceleratus L., but can be readily distinguished by its presence of the trichomes in the whole plant, longer petioles of radical leaves, ovate-shaped leaf segments, globose to subglobose-shaped fruits and flat achenes with narrowly winged and papillae. The Invasive Alien Plant Risk Assessment (IAPRA), a system for recognizing and categorizing alien plants in Korea forests, was used to assess the invasiveness status of the species. Based on this system, R. sardous received a low score of 6, suggesting its potential invasion to natural forests. Although the current distribution of R. sardous is restricted to Jeju Province and thus far has had limited impact on local environments, local and regulatory authorities should pay close attention to this plant and take measures to prevent its further expansion.
This study had two main objectives. We first investigated which weather phenomena people were most concerned about in the context of climate change or global warming. Then, we conducted content analysis to find which words were more commonly used with climate change or global warming. For this, we collected web data from Twitter, Naver, and Daum from April to October 2019 in the Republic of Korea. The results suggested that people were more concerned about air quality, followed by typhoons and heat waves. Because this study only considered one warm period in the year of 2019, winter-related weather phenomena such as cold wave and snowfall were not well captured. From Twitter, we were able to find wider range of terminologies and thoughts/opinions than Naver and Daum. Also, more life-relevant weather events such as typhoons and heat waves in Twitter were commonly mentioned compared to Naver and Daum. On the other hand, the comments from Naver and Daum showed relatively narrower and limited terms and thoughts/ opinions. Especially, most of the comments were influenced by headlines of articles. We found many comments about air quality and energy/economic policy. We hope this paper could provide background information about how to promote the climate change education and public awareness and how to efficiently interact with general audiences.
All of the animals and the plants in ecosystem are intimately connected to one another and the changes of forests and surroundings affect directly wild animals. This study was conducted at Hangyeong-myeon Cheongsu-ri located in the western part of Jeju Island belonging to Hangyeong·Andeok Gotjawal Zone and Jocheon-eup Seonheul-ri located in the eastern part of Jeju Island belonging to Jocheon·Hamdeok Gotjawal Zone. The survey on advent of birds was carried out twice a month from January 2014 to December 2015. We divided habitat environments into three survey sites such as a forest, a shrub forest and a farmland. A total of 65 species and 4,802 individuals were observed during the survey period. In a forest, 36 species and 1,287 individuals were observed while A shrub forest had 40 species and 1,554 individuals. And in a farmland, 41 species and 1,961 individuals were observed. The only 10 species were observed in forest and the only 7 species in shrub forest and the only 10 species in farmland. The species diversity and the evenness of a farmland were the highest, and the species richness was the highest in a shrub forest, and the dominance of a forest was the highest among the three areas. The similarity index between a shurb forest and a farmland was high while that between a forest and a farmland was low. The similarity index related with breeding appeared that a forest and a farmland was different from each other.
반들산쇠고비(Cyrtomium yamamotoi Tagawa)는 관중과 쇠고비속(Cyrtomium Presl)에 속하는 미기록 양치식물이다. 지금까지 타이완, 중국, 일본에 자생하는 것으로 알려져 왔으나, 2018년 제주도 제주시와 전라남도 해남군에서도 자생하고 있음이 확인되었다. 본 종은 근연분류군인 쇠고비(C. fortunei J.Sm.)와 1회 우상복엽이고, 구형의 포막을 가지는 특징 등으로 매우 유사하지만, 반들산쇠고비는 피침평 또는 피침상 난형의 우편이 12쌍 이하이고, 포막의 중앙부는 암갈색 또는 흑색을 띠며, 가장자리에 얕은 톱니가 있는 특징으로 구분된다. 본 연구에서는 반들산쇠고비의 상세한 형태학적 기재와 한국산 쇠고비 속의 명확한 동정을 위한 주요 형태 형질 사진 및 검색표를 제시하였다.
삼덕 Mo 광상 주변지질은 고생대 화전리층, 고운리층, 서창리층, 이원리층, 황강리층, 백악기 우백질 반상화강암 및 화강반암으로 구성된다. 이 광상은 서창리층 내에 발달된 NS 방향의 열극대를 따라 충진한 3개조의 석영맥으로 구성된 광상으로 석영맥의 맥폭은 0.05~0.3 m 정도로 팽축이 심하고 석영맥의 연장성은 약 400 m 정도이다. 석영맥은 괴상, 각력상 및 정동조직들이 관찰되며 모암변질로는 규화작용, 견운모화작용, 점토화작용 및 녹니석화작용 등이 관찰된다. 산출광물은 석영, 형석, 백색운모, 흑운모, 인회석, 모나자이트, 금홍석, 티탄철석, 휘수연석, 황동석, Fe-Mg-Mn 산화물 및 철 산화물 등이다. 이 광상의 백색운모는 석영맥과 모암에서 세립질에서 조립질로 산출되며 4가지 산출유형(I 유형:석영, 휘수연석, 철 산화물 및 Fe-Mg-Mn 산화물과 함께 산출되는 것, II 유형: 석영, 철 산화물 및 Fe-Mg-Mn 산화물과 함께 산출되는 것, III 유형: 석영 및 흑운모와 함께 산출되는 것 및 IV 유형: 석영과 함께 산출되는 것)을 갖는다. 석영맥에서 산출되는 백색운모의 화학조성은(K0.89-0.60Na0.05-0.00Ca0.01-0.00 Sr0.02-0.00)0.94-0.62(Al1.54-1.12Mg0.36-0.18Fe0.26-0.09Mn0.04-0.00Ti0.02-0.00Cr0.02-0.00Zn0.01-0.00)1.91-1.72(Si3.40-3.11Al0.92-0.60)4.00 O10(OH1.68-1.42 F0.58-0.32)2.00이나 I 유형의 백색운모는 나머지 유형의 백색운모보다 SiO2 및 MgO 함량은 낮고 FeO 함량은 높게 나타난다. 또한 이 광상의 백색운모의 화학조성 변화는 팬자이틱 또는 Tschermark 치환((Al3+)VI + (Al3+)IV ↔ (Fe2+ 또는 Mg2+)VI + (Si4+)IV) 및 직접적인 (Fe3+)VI ↔ (Al3+)VI 치환에 의해 일어났음을 알 수 있다.
This paper has identified detailed climate types and their geographical extents in the Republic of Korea using MK (Modified Korean)-PRISM (Parameter-elevation Regression on Independent Slopes Model) 1×1km high-resolution grid climate data and Trewartha climate classification. When considering 60 ASOS (The Automated Synoptic Observing Systems) stations, only four climate types were identified over South Korea. Three climate types, Dca (52%), Doa (28%) and Cfa (18%), were prevalent while Dcb type was only located at Daegwallyeong. When based on a high-resolution grid climate data, six climate types were identified including Dob and E types which were not detected with ASOS stations. High-resolution grid climate data reflected better and detailed geographical characteristics. Areas occupied by Cfa climate types were located along the narrow southern and Jeju coastal areas, dedicating only 6.9% of South Korea. Trewartha climate classification was also applied to 1km×1km RCP scenarios. The most distinct feature of future climate changes based on RCPs was a larger expansion of Cfa and Doa types with a drastic reduction of Dca and Dcb, indicating that a warmer and wetter climate would be prevalent over South Korea in the latter period of this century. Even for RCP2.6, all the coastal areas, some of Seoul metropolitan area, a large part of Daegu and Gwangju metropolitan areas would be classified as Cfa. For RCP8.5, 51.5% of South Korea would be occupied by the Cfas and 25.1% by the Doas, leaving only 23.2% of Dcas.
The phenotypic traits of 63 Asian plum varieties were investigated for three years to select those with superior qualities for breeding. Eight morphological characteristics of the flowers and fruits (e.g., stigma position, fruit skin, and flesh color) were evaluated. Phenological characteristics (e.g., blooming time and ripening time) were also monitored. Being useful traits for breeding, fruit quality factors (e.g., fruit weight, skin color, flesh color, soluble solids content, and titratable acidity) were evaluated as well. The majority of the fruits were cordate (36%) and circular (23%) in shape. Approximately 78% of the varieties showed a red skin color, whereas 67% had yellowish fruit flesh. Fruit ripening occurred from June 28th to September 5th, spanning 69 days. The average fruit weight and soluble solids content were 77.2 g and 12.2 °Brix, respectively. Regarding correlations among the characteristics, the most significant correlation coefficients were for the ripening time and fruit size parameters. Such information of Asian plum varieties will be useful for future breeding programs.
Persistent Extreme Temperature Events (PETEs) are defined in two steps; first, to define extreme temperature events, the 80th and 20th percentiles of daily maximum and minimum temperature were chosen. Then individual PETE was defined as an event which lasted three or longer consecutive extreme temperature days. In this study, we examined characteristics and changes of PETEs in Republic of Korea (ROK) using 14 weather stations with a relatively long-term period of data, 1954-2016. In ROK, PETEs lasted four-five days on average and occurred two-three times a year. PETEs lasted longer in summer than in winter and in maximum temperature than in minimum temperature. PETEs which lasted greater than seven days account for a greater proportion in summer than in winter. However, intensities of PETEs were greater in winter because of a larger temperature fluctuation. In both summer and winter, durations and intensities of persistent extreme high temperature events increased while those of persistent extreme low temperature events decreased. Changes of PETEs were closely related with both global warming and diverse large-scale climate variabilities such as AO, NAO and Nino 3.4.
In South Korea, the “Waste Control Act” regulates the use and purpose of recycling waste and specifies recycling methods and specific standards. However, these processes requires a long time and large budget, because they need to be reviewed based on data specific to the type of waste involved. The use and purpose of recycling can be considered by its functional and environmental aspects. The functional aspect of recycling may vary widely, depending on product characteristics In contrast, environmental standards will have more points in common. Recycling standards that consider the environmental impact and characteristics of waste are not prepared specifically. Therefore, when a large amount of waste is recycled, or recycling standards are applied to a new type of waste, the methodology for review of its environmental characteristics can be controversial. This study is meant to recognize the necessity of recycling standards and to prepare environmental standards and new recycling purposes for waste related to recycling three types of gypsum waste (phospho, titan, desulfurization). Several companies were selected for this study. In the gypsum waste-generating company, gypsum waste samples were collected and analyzed for pH, heavy metal content, water content, hazardous substance content, etc. In addition, we attempted to obtain the company's opinions on waste recycling. We determined the hazardous materials found in these three types of gypsum waste, raised awareness of waste, and confirmed that industry waste can be efficiently recycled for new uses under the improved.
Birds play a main role in the formation and change of forest structures as they are seed-dispersal agents. This study aims to identify birds consuming fruits and seeds of the tree and their associated fruits and seeds on Jeju Island in the context on the forest restoration in Korea. We conducted field surveys twice a month from 2013 to 2015 at nine study sites located across Jeju Island and collected available photographic and observation records. A total of 50 species of birds consuming fruits and seeds of the tree were identified and birds belonging to Bombycillidae, Pycnonotidae, Zosteropidae, Sturnidae and Fringillidae were confirmed as major birds consuming fruits and seeds of the tree. Gulping was the dominant type of feeding as well as crushing, but relationship between the size of a bird and the number of fruit and seed species used by the bird was not significant. We also documented that 118 fruit and seed species were consumed by birds and that shrubby fruits and seeds were more consumed by birds than those of other plant types. The relative consumption rate of fruits and seeds ranged from 0.02 to 0.44, but five species were the most important fruits and seeds for birds. Our finding suggest that avian frugivorous gulpers will benefit the seed dispersal, especially of five fruiting plants, providing useful baseline data for forest restoration and urban park design.
Silica fume is a by-product generated in an electric arc furnace during the silicon, ferrosilicon, and other metal alloy manufacturing process. Prefabrication mineral additives such as fly ash, blast furnace slag and silica fume are commonly used as binder materials to improve cement quality, and to reduce cement consumption. Especially silica fume which has a high level of long-term chemical durability is most widely used in high-performance concrete. However, Korea relied 100% on imported silica fume, which is more expensive than other admixture, until 2014. So far, many studies have been conducted on the effects and performance of silica fume used in concrete or replacement material like metakaolin and blast-furnace slag. With the construction of ferrosilicon plant in Korea, silica fume, a by-product of ferrosilicon production process, has been generated as a new industrial waste. Waste products like silica fume contain heavy metal, hence its use as admixture could increase heavy metal contents in concrete. Therefore, to evaluate the environmental hazards of silica fume, when it is assumed to have been exposed to the environment, content analysis and leaching tests for pH, loss on ignition and trace elements (CN, Cr, Cr6+, Cu, Cd, Pb, As and Hg) in silica fume were conducted. The results of pH analysis and loss on ignition test were 2.18 ~ 7.39 and 0.9 ~ 2.1%, respectively. Analysis found that levels of race elements in silica fume produced in Korea were lower than Korean standards set out for designated waste.
The purpose of this study is to characterize long-term (1973~2012) changes in intra-seasonal temperature and extreme low temperature events in winter observed at 61 weather stations in the Republic of Korea and their associations with changes in atmospheric circulation patterns around East Asia. Maps of long-term linear trends clearly show that both temperature means and extreme events in Korea have asymmetrically changed between early winter and late winter. In early winter, changes with statistical significance are less observable, while in late winter reductions in low extreme temperature events as well as increases in temperatures, particularly after mid-1980s, are obviously observed across the study region. Comparisons of tropospheric synoptic climatic fields before and after the mid-1980s demonstrate that in early winter of recent decades, active meridional circulation from the Arctic appeared in western Eurasia and Bering sea, while in late winter, zonal circulation around East Asia associated with positive Arctic Oscillation-like patterns prevailed. These results indicate that asymmetric changes between early and late winter temperatures in Korea are associated with intra-seasonally inconsistent atmospheric circulation patterns around East Asia.
The differentiation of sex is important for species preservation. However, Fairy Pitta is sexually monomorphic and sex of an individual is indistinguishable with its external characteristics. We determined the sex of Fairy Pitta through DNA analysis and investigated the causes and time of injury and mortality and the size based on sex. We collected 21 samples at Jeju Island, Korean Peninsula from 2004 to 2013 and extracted DNA from them and amplified chromo helicase DNA-binding gene from Z and W chromosomes through Polymerase Chain Reaction (PCR). We confirmed their sex with the banding pattern through Agarose gel electrophoresis, i.e. male (ZZ): one banded and female (ZW) two banded. We distinguished the sex of 17 of 21 samples resulting in 9 males and 8 females. Most casualties were recorded in adult of both sexes. Causes of injury and mortality proved that female casualties occurred from window strikes, dehydration, car accident, predation by natural enemies, and male occurred from window strikes, car accident and dehydration. The time of injury and mortality in adults differ by sex. There was no difference between sexes in any of the six size parameters. As the time of injury and mortality differ by sex, the survey on the role and ecological nature by sex in breeding season must be carried out in the future. External measurements may not be reliable for sexing of Fairy Pitta and other traits such as vocal or characteristics are required to identify the sex of individuals in the field.
1989년 11월 28일에 서명되고 1999년 1월 22일에 발효된 「한일어업협정」은 한국의 독도에 대한 영토주권, 영해 주권 그리고 배타적 경제수역주권을 훼손하는 많은 규정을 포함하고 있다.
(1) 독도의 영토주권의 훼손
동 협정이 독도를 동해 중간 수역 내에 위치하고 있는 것(제9조)은 한일간에 독도의 영유권에 관해 분쟁이 존재함을 묵시적으로 승인한 것이다. 왜냐하면 한일간에 독도영유권분쟁이 존재하지 아니하면 독도 주위의 수역에 중간수역을 설정할 필요가 없기 때문이다. 그리고 분쟁의 존재승인을 설정한 것은 독도의 영유권에 관해 한국과 일본의 법적 입장을 1:1의 대등관계를 승인하여, 결국 한국의 독도 영토주권을 훼손한 것이 된다. 동 협정은 “이 협정의 어떠한 규정도 어업에 관한 사항 이외에 국제법상 문제에 관한 각 체약국의 입장을 해하는 것으로 간주되어서는 아니된다”라고 규정하고 있다(제15조). 이 배제 조항에 대해 독도를 실효적으로 지배하고 있는 한국측에서 보면 현상유지의 이익 밖에 없으나, 일본 측에 보면 독도를 실효적으로 지배하고 있는 한국과 1:1의 대등 관계를 갖는 것으로 되어 이는 일본에 대해 현상유지 이상의 이익이 부여 되는 것이다. 따라서 이는 결과적으로 한국의 독도 영토주권을 훼손하는 것이 된다.
(2) 독도의 영해 주권의 훼손
동 협정은 동해 중간 수역을 설정하고 동 수역에서 기국주의를 채택하여(제9조, 부속서 Ⅰ제2항) 한국의 영해를 침범한 일본 어선에 대해 중간 수역에서 추적권의 행사를 부정하여 한국의 영해주권을 훼손한 것이다.
(3) 독도의 배타적 경제수역주권의 훼손
동 협정에 의해 독도의 배타적 경제수역이 동해 중간수역 내에 위치하게 되어(제9조) 독도의 배타적 경제수역주권이 훼손된 것이다.
이상과 같이 한국의 독도영토주권, 독도영해주권 그리고 독도배타적 경제수역주권은 「한일어업협정」에 의해 훼손되었다. 오늘의 국제사회에서 영토취득의 중요 원인은 묵인, 승인, 그리고 금반언으로, 이들의 반복으로 영토취득이 응고되어 지는 것이다. 그러므로 한국의 독토영토주권을 훼손한 「한일어업협정」을 방치하면 장차 독도의 영토주권을 응고 취득할 수 없게 될 수도 있다. 그러므로 일본의 비교우위의 상대적 권원을 취득할 수 없도록 조속히 두 협정을 폐기하여야 한다.
기후변화에 따른 기온과 강수량의 변화가 지표수자원에 미치는 영향은 수문기상학 연구에서 매우 중요하다. 본 연구에서는 기후변화가 우리나라 5대강 유역의 유출량에 미치는 영향을 분석하기 위하여 Catchment Modeling Toolkit의 네 가지 수문기상 모형을 사용하였다. 세 가지 RCP 시나리오에 대하여 12개 GCM 모형으로부터 미래 2021에서 2040까지(2030s), 2051에서 2070까지(2060s) 및 2081에서 2099까지(2090s) 기간에 대한 기후자료를 추출하였다. 이들 자료는 LARS-WG 방법으로 상세화하였으며, 수문기상 모형들은 1999부터 2009까지의 관측자료를 이용하여 보정 및 검정하였다. 본 연구에서 미래의 유출량은 사분위 범위, 전체 범위 및 변동계수 값이 시공간적으로 및 수문기상 모형에 따라서 큰 불확실성을 나타내었다. 종합적으로 볼 때 미래의 유출량은 기준년도에 비하여 RCP2.6, RCP4.5 및 RCP8.5 시나리오에 대하여 10~24%, 7~30% 및 11~30% 증가할 것으로 예상되었다. 본 연구는 수분기상모형과 기후변화 예측의 불확실성을 고려한 미래의 유출량을 모의할 수 있는 방법을 제시하였다.