PURPOSES : This study is aimed to economic analysis of the ferronickel slag pavement method carried out to suggest the necessity of developing ferronickel slag pavement technology. METHODS : A life cycle cost analysis of the application of the Ferronickel Slag pavement method and the cutting + overlay pavement method was performed to compare the economic indicators and greenhouse gas emissions for each pavement method. RESULTS : As a result of the analysis, regardless of the Ferronickel Slag mixing rate, if the common performance of the Ferronickel Slag pavement method is the same or superior to the existing pavement method, it is more economical than the existing pavement method. Furthermore, the lower the maintenance cost of the Ferronickel Slag pavement method, the higher the economic feasibility due to the high Ferronickel Slag mixing rate. Greenhouse gas emissions can be reduced from at least 9% to up to 53% through the application of the Ferronickel Slag pavement method, except for some scenario analysis results. CONCLUSIONS : This study provided that the Ferronickel Slag pavement method was superior to the existing pavement method in terms of economic and environmental aspects. Therefore, it was found that the objective justification of developing road pavement technology using Ferronickel Slag was secured.

청중비용이론은 국제관계학에서 가장 첨예한 논쟁의 대상이 되어 왔 다. 이 이론에서 도출된 여러 가설은 연구 방법에 따라 확증이 되기도 하고 때로는 반증이 되기도 했다. 그 결과, 청중비용이론의 경험적 유용 성에 대한 찬반 논쟁이 현재까지 지속되고 있다. 본 연구는 이러한 논쟁 을 일정부분 해소하기 위해 청중비용이론의 경쟁 가설 모두에 가장 부합 해야 하는 사례(most likely case)를 선택하여 과정추적(process tracing) 검증을 시도한다. 이를 위해 우리는 양적 연구자의 가설이 지지(반증)되 면 질적 연구자의 가설이 반증(지지)되는 방식으로 연구를 설계했다. 검 증 대상 가설은 ‘약속이행의 의지’와 관련된 두 가지 경쟁 가설과 ‘국내 정치적 처벌’과 관련된 두 가지 경쟁 가설이다. 검증을 위해 선택된 사례 는 제2차 북일 정상회담이다. 분석 결과는 혼재되어 있다. 약속이행의 의지와 관련해서는 양적 연구자의 가설이 지지되고, 국내정치적 처벌과 관련해서는 질적 연구자의 가설이 지지된다. 이 두 가지 가설을 종합할 경우, 최선을 다하는 지도자의 모습을 인지한 청중은 절반의 성공 또는 절반의 실패에 대해서 관대하다는 결론이 도출된다. 이러한 발견은 민주 국가 지도자에게 희소식일 수 있다.

This study attempted to analyze the comparative advantage in terms of disaster safety costs in verifying the effectiveness and economic feasibility of the high-performance water-bulwark system in the pole tunnel, which was recently promoted as a part of the acceleration of vehicles. The tunnel to be analyzed was divided into a short tunnel(Anyang, Cheonggye) and a long tunnel(Suraksan, Sapaesan). As a result, it was analyzed that 25% of the improvement effect would occur if one lane was secured by applying the Water-Bulwark System. It was analyzed that this is because the time value cost, which accounts for a large proportion of the traffic congestion cost of short tunnels and pole tunnels, differs depending on the congestion time and traffic volume, not the length of the tunnel.

This study aims to analyze the cost of climate change damages to laver and sea mustard aquaculture, which are considered to be highly vulnerable to climate change in Korea. For this purpose, the correlation between aquaculture production and climate factors such as water temperature, salinity, air temperature, and precipitation was estimated using a panel regression model. The SSP scenario was applied to predict the changes in production and damage costs due to changes in future climate factors. As a result of the analysis, laver production is predicted to decrease by 18.0-27.2% in 2050 and 20.6-61.6% in 2100, and damage costs are predicted to increase from 29.7-50.8 billion KRW in 2050 to 35.7-116.1 billion KRW in 2100. Sea mustard production is projected to decrease by 24.5-37.2% in 2050 and 24.0-34.5% in 2100, with similar damage costs of 41.1-61.8 billion KRW and 41.1-58.6 billion KRW, respectively. These damage costs are expected to occur in the short term as damage caused by fishery disasters such as high temperatures, and in the long term as a decrease in production due to changes in aquaculture sites. Therefore, measures such as strengthening the forecasting system to prevent high-temperature damage, developing high-temperature-resistant varieties, and relocating fishing grounds in response to changes in aquaculture sites will be necessary.

PURPOSES : This study proposes a method for comparative analysis, based on geographic information systems (GIS), that can be used when introducing demand-responsive transit in areas where public transportation is not available. METHODS : To analyze areas where public transportation is neglected, bus stop location information, building location information, and administrative district boundary data for the census were acquired. Geocoding was used for address-based raw data to create a spatial database. Based on the collected data, the proportion of households separated by a certain minimum distance from a bus stop was aggregated and constructed through near analysis. When introducing a demand-responsive transit system, the operational cost was calculated and compared with the existing city bus transportation cost. RESULTS : Results show that the operating costs of introducing demand-responsive transit can be compared and analyzed using the proposed method, for a case study of Daejeon Metropolitan City. CONCLUSIONS : It is economically efficient to avoid the entry of route buses and introduce demand-responsive transit in areas isolated from public transportation where the number of people getting on and off is extremely low.

밭농업의 생력화를 위해 개발된 둥근두둑 복합작업기는 로터리를 기본으로 관행의 작업순서에 맞게 경운, 휴립, 피복 및 파종 작업기를 순차적으로 배치하여 통합시킨 형태로서 로터베이터의 특성에 영향을 받는다. 본 연구에서는 작업속도에 따른 작업품질을 평가하고 이에 따라 최적 작업능률 및 운용비용을 분석하였다. 복합기의 작업속도에 따른 작업품질을 평가할 때 공칭 작업속도 4km/h까지 토괴의 응집크기와 멀칭 및 파종구 상태가 적절하였다. 주행기어의 단수를 높여 작업속도를 증가시키면 작업시간 단축에 따른 고정비 및 변동비의 절감과 연료효율의 제고로 인한 연료비의 절감을 기대할 수 있다. 작업능률과 비용평가에 있어 공칭 작업속도 4km/h에서의 부담면적은 24.3ha/yr 이며, 단위면적(10a)당 총비용과 연료비는 각각 ￦60,352/10a 및 ￦5,712/10a으로 총비용에서 연료비가 차지하는 비율은 9.5%로 연료의 절감은 제한적이었다.

This paper analyzed a survey of 388 general target samples to analyze the correlation between disaster safety costs and human risk factor analysis and evacuation behavior due to tunnel accidents. Considering the impact of the tunnel accident on disaster safety costs and the correlation between human evacuation and risk factors in the tunnel environment, the system should be reorganized to reflect the tunnel’s basic plan, tunnel cross-section, tunnel installation.

The purpose of this study is to identify economic situation on scale of tuna distant longline fishery by analyzing its economies of scale using the cost function. To analyze its economics of scale, the deep-sea fishing statistics were used from 2012 to 2016. In detail, the number of panels for estimating the cost function was 68 tuna distant longline vessels from 2012 to 2016, and the total number of observations over the five years were 340. As a final model, the two-way fixed effect model based on the translog cost function was adopted through the F test, the Breusch-Pagan test and the Hausman test. As a result of the analysis, it was found that tuna distant longline fishery between 2012 and 2014 was diseconomies of scale, the fishery between 2015 and 2016 was economies of scale. However, the economic indicators of the scale from 2012 to 2016 were almost close to zero, indicating that the constant returns to scale, the optimal scale, were reached. Therefore, in the situation where the amount of fishery resources in the world continues to decrease, it is necessary to prepare a method to obtain economic benefits through scale maintenance and reduction rather than indiscriminate scale expansion.

본 논문에서는 고리 1호기 해체 비용 추정을 위해 외국 원자력발전소 해체 비용 데이터를 현가화한 후 원자력발전소 해체 비용 추정 회귀 분석모델을 개발하였다. 이 모델 개발에 사용된 데이터는 해체 또는 진행 중인 BWR 13기, PWR 16기의 해체 비용 데이터이다. 회귀 분석모델 도출을 위해, 해체 비용을 종속변수로 정하고, 해체 원전의 운전 특성을 반영할 수 있게 고 안된 Contamination factor와 해체 기간을 독립변수로 선정하였다. 빅데이터 분석 도구인 R language의 통계패키지를 이용 하여 회귀 분석모델을 도출하였다. 이 회귀 분석 모델을 적용하여 고리 1호기 해체 비용을 예측한 결과, 미화 663.40~928.32 백만 달러, 한화 약 7,828.12억~1조 954.18억 원이 소요될 것으로 예측되었다.

Due to global climate change, Korea is experiencing flooding and drought severely. It is hard to manage water resources because intensive precipitation during short periods and drought are commonly occurred in Korea, recently. Severe drought occurred in 2015 and 2017 in the islands, and coastal and inland areas in Korea, and the citizens experienced decreased water supply and emergency water service by using bottled water. Therefore, the Korean government provided additional governmental funds such as the grant of drought disaster. In this study, we tried to calculate the cost of water for drought response based on the cost of tap water for the regional local governments in Korea and the grant of drought disaster by the Ministry of the Interior and Safety in Korea, etc. The estimated costs of water for drought responses in coastal and inland areas which have a chance to apply alternative water sources such as brackish or seawater desalination and water reuse in Korea were higher than in other areas in Korea. Additionally, as the novel approach of drought response, the 300 m3/day-scale desalination vessel was suggested to provide desalinated water for the islands in Korea. The estimated expenses of water supply for the target island areas (Sinan-gun and Jindo-gun) by the desalination vessel was lower than those by emergency water service by using bottled water.

본 연구의 목적은 악취 발생 저감을 위해 국내에서 최근 권고되는 밀폐(무창)형 돈사와 기존 개방형 돈 사의 비용 편익을 분석하여 이러한 추진 방향의 객관적 타당성을 확보하는 데 있다. 두 돈사 유형의 비용은 설치비와 운용비로 구분한 후 관련 문헌 자료와 현장 조사 결과를 근거로 추정하였고, 편익은 축산 환경 전문가들을 대상으로 한 델파이 설문 조사 기법 적용을 통해 추정하였다. 비용 편익 분석 결과, 양돈 규모에 상관없이 개방형과 밀폐형 돈사 모두 편익/비용 비율이 1 초과로 추정되어 돼지 생산에 따른 경제적 이익이 창출되는 것으로 분석되었다. 하지만 소규모, 중규모, 대규모 양돈 농가 모두 밀폐(무창)형 돈사의 편익/비용 비율(B/C ratio)이 개방형 돈사보다 상대적으로 모두 높은 것으로 추정되었다. 결론적으로 기존 양돈 농가들의 인·허가 시 경제성 우위 측면뿐만 아니라 축산 악취의 효율적 관리를 위해서도 개방형 돈사를 밀폐(무창)형 돈사로 변경하도록 권고해야 하며, 특히 편익/비용 비율이 상대적으로 가장 높은 수치를 보인 대규모 농가인 경우 이를 이행 조치하는 것이 합리적이라 판단된다.