최근 집중호우의 발생빈도가 증가하고 있으며, 이를 고려한 강우분석을 실시하여야 한다. 현재 수문설계를 위한 강우분석은 한반도 조밀도 36 km 인 기상청 관할 종관기상관측지점(Automated Surface Observing System, ASOS)의 시 단위 강우를 이용하고 있다. 이로 인해 같은 강우지점의 티센망에 포함되는 중소규모 유역은 동일한 확률강우량과 강우시간분포로 분석하게 됨으로 유역특성을 고려하지 못하는 문제가 발생한다. 또한, 10~20 km 범위 내에서 발생하는 집중호우의 시 ․ 공간적 변화를 고려하지 못하는 문제점이 발생한다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 종관기상관측지점에 비해 상대적으로 조밀도가 우수한 방재기상관측지점(Automatic Weather System, AWS)의 분 단위 강우자료를 이용하여 집중호우를 고려한 확률강우량을 산정하였다. 또한, 유역에 적합한 Huff의 4분위 방법 산정을 위해 Case별 시간분포 산정과 유출분석을 실시하였다. 이는 집중호우와 유역특성을 반영한 설계수문량 산정에 크게 기여할 것으로 판단된다.

기후변화에 따른 강우특성의 변화 등 다양한 기상이변과 극한사상에 관련된 수자원 연구는 일반적으로 전지구 기후 모델(General Circulation Model, GCM) 산출물에 기반하여 생산된 미래 기상정보를 바탕으로 이루어진다. 사회 다양한 분야에서 기후변화 영향평가가 심층적으로 이루어지고 있는 가운데 과거기간에 대한 원시 모의결과 평가를 통한 GCM의 성능과 산출물에 대한 재현성 고찰 연구는 상대적으로 미흡한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 한반도 지역에 대한 전지구 모델의 성능을 평가하기 위해 동아시아 지역의 격자단위 관측자료를 수집하여 과거기간(1970~2005)에 대한 강우특성 공간분포를 분석하고 이에 대한 GCM 산출물의 재현성을 평가하였다. 위도와 경도에 따른 강우특성의 공간적 변동성에 대한 GCM 결과의 상관성과 평균/절대오차를 산정하여 29개 CMIP5 GCM의 순위를 결정하여 제시하였다. 연구 결과 오차 통계와 대상지역에 따라 GCM 순위가 상이하게 나타났으며 특히 공간분포의 패턴과 절대적 오차를 기준으로 판단한 GCM 순위가 크게 다르게 나타났다. 대체로 Hadley Centre 계열 모델의 동아시아 지역에 대한 강우특성 재현성이 높게 나타났으며 한반도 지역만을 대상으로 평가한 경우 MPI_ESM_MR과 CMCC center 계열 모델의 재현성이 높게 나타났다. 본 연구결과는 향후 한반도 지역의 기후변화 영향평가에 가중있게 고려되어야 할 GCM의 선정과 GCM 성능고려에 따른 기후변화 예측 불확실성 평가에 적용될 수 있으며 다양한 영향 평가 연구결과의 신뢰도 제고에 기여할 것으로 기대된다.

This study is to evaluate the per capita accessibility to child care facilities using road map in rural village unit considering the supply and demand of child care facilities in municipal (Si-Gun) units. Using these estimated accessibility, the most accessible regions to child care facilities was identifies using Moran’s index. Assuming establish a new child care facility in the most accessible region, the sensitivity of child care environment was analyzed. The number of regions are 71 si-gun-gu where supply of child care facilities is insufficient. The average accessibility per capita is 1.09 km to child care facilities and the average accessibility in Myeon unit is approximately 2.2 times higher than accessibility in Eup unit (Eup unit 0.54 km, Myeon unit 1.21 km). Approach tendency from village to child care facilities has positive relationship as 0.451 global Moran’s index. The high-high (H-H) accessibility regions are wide as Gangwon-do, Gyeongsangbuk-do, Gyeongsangnam-do, Jeollanam-do and Chungcheongbuk-do. Assumed to be established the new child care facilities in Yangyang-gun (Ganwon-do), accessibility changes of child care environment are up to 2.7 times greater and the recipient population is 77% of Yangyang-gun.

Characterization of spatio-temporal variations in PM2.5 in Gyeongnam (GN) province during 2015-2016 was investigated to assess the air quality in this area in terms of fine particles. Yearly mean concentrations of PM2.5 ranged from 19.1 to 29.5 μgm-3. High concentrations of PM2.5 were observed in spring (21.2-30.3 μgm-3) and winter (20.2-30.3 μgm-3). Low concentrations of PM2.5 were generally observed in fall (16.2-23.2 μgm-3). PM2.5 concentration was highest in the morning (10 AM). The fractions of PM2.5 in PM10 were 0.51-0.62 and two were significantly correlated (r=0.779-0.830), suggesting common sources (fossil fuel combustion, mobile sources, etc). CO was significantly correlated with PM2.5 in highly urbanized areas such as the city of Changwon (CW, r=0.711), compared to other air pollutants (SO2, NO2, and O3), suggesting dominance of industrial combustion sources.

The objective of this study is to accurately understand the spatial distribution characteristics of the main production area for the three vegetable crops such as Chinese cabbage, radish, and hot pepper. We applied the 8 landscape indices such as TA, NP, PD, LPI, LSI, PLADJ, COHESION, and CONNECT to 35 cities and counties using FRAGSTATS. In the case of main production area for Chinese cabbage, six cities and counties in Gangwon province were revealed as a relatively high degree of aggregation by cultivation parcels than other area. In addition, Gangneung city and Hongcheon county have been analyzed to be the most aggregated area in the case of radish and hot pepper, respectively. In the future, the spatial analysis method used in this study would be helpful to develop an effective regional plan of the main production area.

Aging phenomenon is an important issue in Korea national policy. This aging phenomenon depends on the social and environmental characteristics of regions. Also aging phenomenon and regional characteristics have spatial dependency. The purpose of this study is to discover the spatial changes in aging population rate and to find local factors of regional aging phenomenon considering spatial autocorrelation. For spatial analysis of ageing phenomenon, local Moran’s I and Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) were applied. As the results, the most significant changes of aging phenomenon appeared between 2000 and 2005, and most of hot-spot regions (aged regions) were distributed in Jullanam-do and Jullabuk-do. The results of GWR (R-square: 0.681) shows that total fertility rate, the number of doctor per 1,000 people and forest area rate have positive relation with aging population rate, but the number of private academy per 1,000 people has negative relation.

The concepts of residence time and flushing time can be used to explain the exchange and transport of water or materials in a coastal sea. The application of these transport time scales are widespread in biological, hydrological, and geochemical studies. The water quality of the system crucially depends on the residence time and flushing time of a particle in the system. In this study, the residence and flushing time in Gamak Bay were calculated using the numerical model, EFDC, which includes a particle tracking module. The average residence time was 55 days in the inner bay, and the flushing time for Gamak Bay was about 44.8 days, according to the simulation. This means that it takes about 2 months for land and aquaculture generated particles to be transported out of Gamak Bay, which can lead to substances accumulating in the bay. These results show the relationships between the transport time scale and physical the properties of the embayment. The findings of this study will improves understanding of the water and material transport processes in Gamak Bay and will be important when assessing the potential impact of coastal development on water quality conditions.

As a result of analysis based on the observed data for BOD, COD and TOC in order to manage non-biodegradable organics in the Geumho River, COD/BOD ratio was analyzed as the occupying predominance proportion. In this study, the classification(changes in water quality measurement : increase, equal, decrease) and measurement of BOD and COD were analyzed for trends over the past 10 years from 2005 to 2014 in the Geumho River. The Geumho River is expected to need non-biodegradable organics management because BOD was found to be reduced 61.1% and COD was found to be increased 50%. As a result of the analysis of land use, the Geumho-A is a unit watershed area of 921.13 km2, which is the most common area that is occupied by forests. The Geumho-B is a unit watershed area of 436.8 km2, which is the area that is highest occupied by agriculture and grass of 24.84%. The Geumho-C is a unit watershed area of 704.56 km2 accounted for 40.29% of the entire watershed, which is the area that is occupied by urban of 15.12%. Load of non-biodegradable organics, which is not easy biodegradable according to the discharge, appeared to be increased because flow coefficient of COD and TOC at the Geumho-B were estimated larger than 1 value. The management of non-point sources of agricultural land is required because the Geumho-B watershed area occupied by the high proportion of agriculture and field. In this segment it showed to increase the organics that biodegradation is difficult because the ratio of BOD and TOC was decreased rapidly from GR7 to GR8. Thus, countermeasures will be required for this.

The objectives of this study were to analyze reservoir trophic state, based on Trophic State Index (TSI), spatial variation patterns of three zones (riverine, transition, and lacustrine zone), and empirical models through 20-years long-term data analysis. Trophic variables of TP and CHL-a were highest during the summer monsoon, and decreased along the main axis from the riverine to lacustrine zone. In the mean time, TN did not show the trend. Ratios of N:P and Secchi disc transparency (SD) increased from the riverine to lacustrine zone. The analysis of trophic state index (TSI) showed that mean TSI (TP) and TSI (CHL-a) were 62 and 57, respectively, and these values were highest in the transition zone during the summer. This zone should be managed well due to highest lake water pollution. The analysis of Trophic State Index Deviation (TSID) showed that algal growth was primarily limited by light penetration, and this was most pronounced in the monsoon season. The analysis of empirical models showed that the value of R2, based on CHL-SD model, was 0.30 (p < 0.0001) in the transition zone and the R2, based on TP-SD model, was 0.41 (p < 0.0001) in the transition zone.

Seasonal and stational variation of SS and COD were investigated from February 2008 to December 2010 and the relationship between them was discussed. During three years monitoring, SS decreased significantly (46% decline) possibly due to the increase of precipitation and thereby resulting salinity drop. COD on average was the highest in 2009. SS was the highest in autumn and the lowest in winter, and over 72% of SS was FSS. While SS is high in the upper sampling stations of the bay with shallow water, COD values do not show any relationship to the geomorphological characteristics. CODins, which was defined as COD after filtration, ranged 56%(winter) ~ 44.6%(summer) and showed no correlation with SS. It indicates that high SS concentration is not necessarily related to the high CODins. The seasonal CODins/SS data, which can be interpreted as COD density in SS, shows that SS in winter contains the dense COD materials compared to the other seasons.

We plan to run the two-dimensional and three-dimensional finite element analysis to build a tunnel behavior DB along the fracture zone for making the development of behavior characterization method of construction of the destabilizing factors for each of the future.

The purpose of this study was to analyze the characteristics of spacio-temporal variation for PM10 and PM2.5 concentration in Busan. PM10 concentration has been reduced for the past three year and exceeded 50 ㎍/㎥ of the national standard for PM10. PM2.5 concentration showed gradual decrease or stagnant trends and exceeded the U.S. EPA standard. Seasonal analysis of PM10 and PM2.5 suggested spring>winter>fall>summer(by Asian dust) and winter>spring>summer>fall(by anthropogenic effect) in the order of high concentration, respectively. Characterization of diurnal variations suggests that PM10 levels at all the three sites consistently exhibited a peak at 1000LST and PM2.5 at Jangrimdong experienced the typical PM2.5 diurnal trends such that a peak was observed in the morning and the lowest level at 1400LST. In the case of seasonal trends, the PM2.5/PM10 ratio was in the order of summer>winter>fall>spring at all the study sites, with a note that spring bears the lowest concentration. During AD events, PM10 concentration exhibited the highest level at Jangrimdong and the lowest level at Joadong. And PM2.5/PM10 ratio in AD was 0.16∼0.28.

최근에는 확률강우량을 산정할 경우 지점빈도해석의 단점을 보완한 지역빈도해석법이 자주 실무에 적용되고 있으나, 가뭄에 관련한 연구에서는 대부분 아직까지 지점자료를 이용한 가뭄분석을 실시하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 가뭄의 지역적 특성 분석을 실시하기 위하여 필요한 동질한 가뭄특성을 지닌 지역을 구분하는 연구를 수행하였다. 본 연구에서는 기상청 강우관측 지점자료 중 30년 이상의 강우자료를 보유한 58개의 관측지점을 대상으로 표준강수지수(SPI)를 산정하여 가

Temperature, salinity, COD, DIN (Dissolved Inorganic Nitrogen), DIP (Dissolved Inorganic Phosphorus), and Chlorophyll a obtained from the southern coastal waters during the period of 2003 to 2005 were analyzed. Variability in temperature was not found between groups in southern coastal waters, but significantly different depending on sampling sites (p<0.05). The average temperature in 2003 estimated at 18.33℃ that was annually increased by 2005 and significantly different based on statistics (p<0.05). Unlikely to temperature, salinity was significantly different depending on sampling sites, as well as monthly variations (p<0.05). Likewise to temperature, the value of salinity was annually increased. COD estimated at the average of >1.7 mg l-1 for three years, indicating optimal water quality. The fluctuations of nutrients were extremely shown in different sampling sites and monthly variations. Chlorophyll a recorded above 2.0 μg l-1 which was associated with high primary phytoplankton, whereas it showed much fluctuations in temporal and spatial, In particular, Tongyong, Jaranman, Jinjuman, and Samcheonpo located in the southeast were the highest fluctuations in water quality than any other regions. The correlation between salinity/COD and nutrients/chlorophyll a was strongly negative or positive, which was possibly associated with much the introduction of run-off water as well as rainfall in summer.

The clarification of spatial-temporal patterns of phytoplankton from southern coastal waters during the period of March to November in 2004 was carried out. Total cell numbers were shown in 5,286 cells ml−1 on March and reached to encounter a peak of 27,775 cells ml−1 on July. Mean cell number was also shown in maximum of 1,587 cells ml−1 on July, which recorded approximately two times higher than on June. The cell number of phytoplankton from southmiddle waters attained an abundance of ≥35 regardless of months, which was the highest the abundance of phytoplankton in 2004 than any other waters in this study. Southwestern waters were lower the cell number of 2-5 times than those of southmiddle and southeastern waters. In particular, Prorocentrum occurred in southeastern waters on June and the highest cell number of 8,200 cells ml−1 around Tongyeong region on July, which was recorded to occupy the value of 60.9% in southeast waters. The abundance of Skeletonema costatum as a dominant taxa in southwest was shown in ≥60 on March, July, September, and October, whereas was also recorded to achieve the abundance of above 80% in southmiddle waters on March, July, and September. The majority of the taxa in southeastern waters was diatom: Eucampia zoodiacus, and Chaetoceros spp.. They occupied above 45%. On November, most of southern waters were abundant to Chaetoceros spp. On the basis of cluster analysis using SPSS ver 10.0, phytoplankton occurring on March showed somewhat no correlation with all of southern waters. In contrast to on March, the relationship between southwestern and southmiddle waters was shown on August and November, indicating a distinction from southeastern waters. However, the distance between southwestern/middle and southeastern waters appeared to be less than 5. Consequently, the abundance of phytoplankton in southern waters showed much fluctuations in temporal and spatial assays. In particular, southwestern and southmiddle waters during the periods of summer and winter appeared to be a similar to environmental characteristics.

This study has been performed to clarify the characteristics of temporal and spatial distribution of surface ozone concentration over Jeju Island, one of the cleanest areas in Korea with low emissions of air pollutants. Ozone data are monitored at four sites in Jeju Island. These monitoring sites are located at two urban area(referred to Ido and Donghong), coastal area(Gosan site) and forest site(Chuna site). Ozone data has been routinely collected at these sites for the late four years. The patterns of seasonal cycle of ozone concentrations at all stations show the bimodal with the peaks on spring and autumn and a significant summer minimum. However, the patterns of diurnal variations at rural station, i.e., Gosan and Chuna sites are considerably different to those at urban stations such as Ido and Donghong sites. The patterns of △O3 variations are very similar with those of monthly mean ozone concentrations and △O3 values are exceeded 30 ppb, at urban stations. This may be that urban stations are more influenced by local photochemical reactions rather than rural stations. In order to assess the potential roles of meteorological parameters on ozone formation, the meteorological parameters, such as radiation, temperature, and wind are monitored together with ozone concentrations at all stations. The relationships of meteorological parameters to the corresponding ozone concentration are found to be insignificant in Jeju Island. However, at Gosan and Donghong stations, when the sea breeze blew toward the station, the ozone concentration is considerably increased.

체계적으로 분석된 대구지역의 PM10 오염도의 시간적 및 공간적 특성과 대조지역에서 측정된 PM10 오염도에 근거하여 대구지역의 PM10 오염에 대한 저감 방안이 다음과 같이 제시된다. 대구시의 지역특성에 따른 PM10 관리의 관점에서 볼 때 대구지역의 PM10 관리는 다른 지역보다는 도로변 또는 도로변 인근지역, 그리고 공업지역에서 우선적으로 이루어져야 하고 지역적으로 PM10 관리 전략을 달리하여야 함을 제시하고 있다. 남산동, 삼덕동 및 대명동을 포함하여 도로변 또는 도로변 인근의 주택에 거주하는 주민의 PM10으로부터 건강 위해성을 줄이기 위해서는 자동차 교통 관리가 가장 우선적으로 수행되어야 한다. 한편, 노원동과 중리동을 포함한 공업지역 또는 인근에 거주하는 주민의 PM10으로부터 건강 위해성을 줄이기 위해서는 자동차 교통 관리 보다는 공단 배출 PM10 관리가 가장 우선적으로 수행되어야 한다. 나아가, 본 연구결과에 기초할 때, 비록 만성영향과 밀접한 관련이 있는 평균농도는 모든 지역에서 PM10 대기환경 기준치 이하로 나타났지만, 급성영향과 밀접한 관련이 있는 최대 농도와 결코 낮지 않은 PM10 대기환경 기준치를 초과하는 빈도수를 고려할 때, 대구지역의 PM10 관리는 지속적으로 수행되어야 함이 강조된다. 대구지역의 시간대 별 PM10 관리 관점에서 볼 때, 대구의 일반 주거지역의 PM10 관리는 오전 10시에서 오후 1 3시에 집중되어야 효율적인 PM10 관리가 될 수 있음을 의미한다. 공업지역인 중리동과 노원동의 경우, 다소 이른 오전 7시부터 오후 1 2시 사이에 PM10 관리가 집중되어야 효율적인 PM10 관리가 될 수 있을 것이다. 반면에 상업/주거 지역인 삼덕동과 대명동 그리고 도로변 지역인 남산동의 경우, 특정 시간대가 아닌 거의 전 시간대에 걸쳐 PM10 관리해야 하고 특히 자동차 배출 PM10 관리대책 수립이 시급하다. 대구지역의 요일 별 PM10 관리 관점에서 볼 때, 모든 지역에 대하여 일요일과 월요일의 PM10 농도가 낮게 나타났으므로 화요일에서 토요일까지 집중되는 것이 PM10관리가 효율적으로 수행될 수 있음을 의미한다. 대구지역의 월 별 PM10 관리 관점에서 볼 때, 모든 지역에서 하절기인 7월, 8월 및 9월에 낮은 농도를 나타내었고, 동절기인 11월 2월 보다는 오히려 이른 봄인 3월에 최대 농도를 나타내고 있으므로 모든 지역에서 3월에는 특별한 PM10 관리가 이루어져야 하고, 특히 근본적인 문제점인 중국의 황사현상을 저감하기 위한 중국과의 외교적인 노력이 요구된다. 대구지역의 계절 별 PM10 관리 관점에서 볼 때, 계절적으로는 모든 지역에서 봄철에 가장 PM10 농도, 그 다음이 겨울, 가을 그리고 여름의 순으로 나타났다. 봄철의 가장 높은 PM10 농도와 여름철의 가장 낮은 PM10 농도는 앞의 월별 PM10 농도 변화에서도 설명된 바와 같이 각각 황사와 장마의 영향 때문인 것으로 사료된다. 여름과 가을 보다 높은 PM10 농도를 나타내는 겨울철의 경우, 난방 연료 사용의 증가로 인한 영향을 받는 것으로 사료되므로 청정연료 사용의 확대가 권장된다. 대부분의 경우, 대조지역에서 측정된 PM10 농도가 대구의 여섯 개 대기오염측정 지점에서 측정된 PM10 농도 보다 낮게 나타났고, 일부는 일반주거지역인 만촌동과 유사하게 나타났다. 따라서, 대구의 PM10 측정망 중에서 만촌동이 주위 PM10 오염원의 영향을 가장 적게 받는 주거지역임을 함께 고려할 때 대구시의 PM10 관리목표는 만촌동의 PM10 수준으로 유지함이 바람직한 것으로 제안된다.

Hourly data of PM10 concentration collected from nine automatic air quality monitoring stations in Busan from 1999 to 2002 were analyzed to evaluate the spatio-temporal variation and meteorological characteristics of PM10 episodes in Busan metropolitan area. Mean concentrations ranged from 47㎍/m3 to 77㎍/m3. For most stations, mean seasonal hourly concentrations are lowest in summer and highest in spring. PM10 episode above daily mean standard(150㎍/m3) exhibited a maximum frequency at Gamjeondong and a minimum at Dongsamdong, and a maximum in March and a minimum in July and August. The diurnal variation of PM10 episode days is strongly influenced by traffic loads and meteorological conditions.

The chemical characteristics of precipitation was investigated in Pusan area. Samples were collected from January to November in 1996 at 4 sites, and analyzed pH, mayor soluble ionic components(Cl^-, NO_3^-, SO_4^2-, Na^+, K^+, NH_4^+, Mg^2+, Ca^2+). The order of anion and cation concentrations for the initial precipitation were Cl^- > SO_4^2- > NO_3^- , and Ca^2+ > Na^+ > NH_4^+ > Mg^2+ > K^+, respectively. At coastal sites(P1 and P2) Cl^- and Na^+ of maritime sources (seasalt) were high, but at inland sites(P3 and P4) nss-Ca^2+ and nss-SO_4^2- were high. Calcium ion for the initial precipitation showed high value of enrichement factor(EF) relative to seawater composition. The contribution of seasalt to the composition of precipitation was higher at site P1 (53.5%) than those of the other sites. Throughout the year the concentrations of major ions for the initial precipitation were low in the heavy rain season. The mean pH for the initial precipitation was 5.4 and showed the negative relationship with the precipitaion amount. The SO_4^2- and NO_3^- do not play an important role in rain acidification due to the high(97%) neutralizing effect of amonia and calcium species.