본 논문에서는 대규모 실시간 매칭의 생존 게임에서 플레이를 위한 유저들의 소셜 관계에 대해 연구한다. 특 히 “사전 팀 구성”을 통한 자의적인 팀 구성이 어떤 방식으로 유저들을 연결하는 지 연구하고자 한다. 다수 의 사람 간 집단 역학에서 나타나는 특성이나 패턴에 대한 조사를 중심으로 하였으며, 개인의 특성은 보조적 인 수단으로만 사용된다. 이번 연구에서는 게임을 플레이하는 유저들의 익명화 된 대규모 데이터를 활용하며 이에 대한 간소화된 집계 방법을 제안한다. 데이터 세트에는 사전 팀 구성에 관한 11,259만 줄의 속성이 포 함되어 있으며, 데이터에서 우리는 250만개의 노드와 1,182만개의 무방향 에지가 있는 협업 네트워크를 구성 하여 대규모 게임 내 협동 네트워크를 만듭니다. 연결 정도, 경로 길이, 클러스터링 및 소속 하위 컴포넌트의 크기 등 네트워크에 관한 수치를 통해 게임내 소셜 활동에 대한 이해를 높이고자 한다. 본 논문에서는 다음 의 두가지 특성을 중심으로 결론을 제시한다. 첫째, 네트워크 내에는 대규모로 연결된 2개(전체의 44% 및 2%)와 나머지의 파편화된 하위 컴포넌트로 구성 되어있다. 이 대규모 컴포넌트 중 작은 쪽은 한국 유저로만 구성되어 있다. 둘째, 컴포넌트 크기 별 평균 연결 거리와 군집화 계수, k-core를 확인함으로써 기타 다른 네 트워크 대비 이웃 간 연결이 강하면서 전체적으로는 비교적 멀리 떨어져 있음을 확인한다.

본 연구는 네트워크 이상 감지 및 예측을 위해 벡터 자기회귀(VAR) 모델의 사용을 비교 분석한다. VAR 모 델에 대한 간략한 개요를 제공하고 네트워크 이상 체크로 사용 가능한 두 가지 버전을 검토하며 두 종류의 VAR 모델을 통한 경험적인 평가를 제시한다. VAR-Filtered moving-common-AR 모델이 단일 노드 이상 감지 성능에서 우수하며, VAR-Adaptive Learning 버전은 몇 개의 노드 간 이상을 효과적으로 식별하는 데 특히 효 과적이며 두 가지 주요VAR 모델의 전반적인 성능 차이에 대한 근본적인 이유도 분석한다. 각 기술의 장단점 을 개요로 제공하고 성능 향상을 위한 제안도 제시하고자 한다.

Determining the size or area of a plant's leaves is an important factor in predicting plant growth and improving the productivity of indoor farms. In this study, we developed a convolutional neural network (CNN)-based model to accurately predict the length and width of lettuce leaves using photographs of the leaves. A callback function was applied to overcome data limitations and overfitting problems, and K-fold cross-validation was used to improve the generalization ability of the model. In addition, ImageDataGenerator function was used to increase the diversity of training data through data augmentation. To compare model performance, we evaluated pre-trained models such as VGG16, Resnet152, and NASNetMobile. As a result, NASNetMobile showed the highest performance, especially in width prediction, with an R_squared value of 0.9436, and RMSE of 0.5659. In length prediction, the R_squared value was 0.9537, and RMSE of 0.8713. The optimized model adopted the NASNetMobile architecture, the RMSprop optimization tool, the MSE loss functions, and the ELU activation functions. The training time of the model averaged 73 minutes per Epoch, and it took the model an average of 0.29 seconds to process a single lettuce leaf photo. In this study, we developed a CNN-based model to predict the leaf length and leaf width of plants in indoor farms, which is expected to enable rapid and accurate assessment of plant growth status by simply taking images. It is also expected to contribute to increasing the productivity and resource efficiency of farms by taking appropriate agricultural measures such as adjusting nutrient solution in real time.

This study was conducted to develop a model for predicting the growth of kimchi cabbage using image data and environmental data. Kimchi cabbages of the ‘Cheongmyeong Gaual’ variety were planted three times on July 11th, July 19th, and July 27th at a test field located at Pyeongchang-gun, Gangwon-do (37°37′ N 128°32′ E, 510 elevation), and data on growth, images, and environmental conditions were collected until September 12th. To select key factors for the kimchi cabbage growth prediction model, a correlation analysis was conducted using the collected growth data and meteorological data. The correlation coefficient between fresh weight and growth degree days (GDD) and between fresh weight and integrated solar radiation showed a high correlation coefficient of 0.88. Additionally, fresh weight had significant correlations with height and leaf area of kimchi cabbages, with correlation coefficients of 0.78 and 0.79, respectively. Canopy coverage was selected from the image data and GDD was selected from the environmental data based on references from previous researches. A prediction model for kimchi cabbage of biomass, leaf count, and leaf area was developed by combining GDD, canopy coverage and growth data. Single-factor models, including quadratic, sigmoid, and logistic models, were created and the sigmoid prediction model showed the best explanatory power according to the evaluation results. Developing a multi-factor growth prediction model by combining GDD and canopy coverage resulted in improved determination coefficients of 0.9, 0.95, and 0.89 for biomass, leaf count, and leaf area, respectively, compared to single-factor prediction models. To validate the developed model, validation was conducted and the determination coefficient between measured and predicted fresh weight was 0.91, with an RMSE of 134.2 g, indicating high prediction accuracy. In the past, kimchi cabbage growth prediction was often based on meteorological or image data, which resulted in low predictive accuracy due to the inability to reflect on-site conditions or the heading up of kimchi cabbage. Combining these two prediction methods is expected to enhance the accuracy of crop yield predictions by compensating for the weaknesses of each observation method.

Recently, as the possibility of unexpected outbreaks of alien insects has increased due to climate change such as global warming, the importance of early control through rapid and accurate spread of exotic forest pest and change prediction diagnosis is required. This study summarizes and reports the followings: the establishment of monitoring strategy for exotic insects by the investigation of species distribution range through field surveys and others, the development of new diagnostic technique through microstructures and life-cycle, the dispersal of exotic insects, and ecological impact assessment using ecological methods and with the expansion of exotic insects and development of ecosystem impact prediction model.

Due to COVID-19, changes in consumption trends are taking place in the distribution sector, such as an increase in non-face-to-face consumption and a rapid growth in the online shopping market. However, it is difficult for small and medium-sized export sellers to obtain forecast information on the export market by country, compared to large distributors who can easily build a global sales network. This study is about the prediction of export amount and export volume by country and item for market information analysis of small and medium export sellers. A prediction model was developed using Lasso, XGBoost, and MLP models based on supervised learning and deep learning, and export trends for clothing, cosmetics, and household electronic devices were predicted for Korea's major export countries, the United States, China, and Vietnam. As a result of the prediction, the performance of MAE and RMSE for the Lasso model was excellent, and based on the development results, a market analysis system for small and medium sellers was developed.

Radioactive contaminants, such as 137Cs, are a significant concern for long-term storage of nuclear waste. Migration and retention of these contaminants in various environmental media can pose a risk to the surrounding environment. The distribution coefficient (Kd) is a critical parameter for assessing the behavior of these contaminants and can introduce significant errors in predicting migration and remediation options. Accurate prediction of Kd values is essential to assess the behavior of radioactive contaminants and to ensure environmental safety. In this study, we present machine learning models based on the Japan Atomic Energy Agency Sorption Database (JAEA-SDB) to predict Kd values for Cs in soils. We used three different machine learning models, namely the random forest (RF), artificial neural network (ANN), and convolutional neural network (CNN), to predict Kd values. The models were trained on 14 input variables from the JAEA-SDB, including factors such as Cs concentration, solid phase properties, and solution conditions which are preprocessed by normalization and log transformation. We evaluated the performance of our models using the coefficient of determination (R2) value. The RF, ANN, and CNN models achieved R2 values of over 0.97, 0.86, and 0.88, respectively. Additionally, we analyzed the variable importance of RF using out-of-bag (OOB) and CNN with an attention module. Our results showed that the initial radionuclide concentration and properties of solid phase were important variables for Kd prediction. Our machine learning models provide accurate predictions of Kd values for different soil conditions. The Kd values predicted by our models can be used to assess the behavior of radioactive contaminants in various environmental media. This can help in predicting the potential migration and retention of contaminants in soils and the selection of appropriate site remediation options. Our study provides a reliable and efficient method for predicting Kd values that can be used in environmental risk assessment and waste management.

PURPOSES : The main purpose of this study is to identify directions for improvement of triangular islands installation warrants through analysis of the characteristics of crashes and severity with and without triangular islands on intersections. METHODS : The data was collected by referring to the literature and analyzed using statistical analysis tools. First, an independence test analyzed whether statistically significant differences existed between crashes depending on the installation of triangular islands. As a result of the analysis, individual prediction models were developed for cases with significant differences. In addition, each crash factor was derived by comparison with each model. RESULTS : Significant differences appeared in the "crash frequency of serious or fatal" and "crash severity" owing to the installation of triangular islands. As a result of comparing crash factors through the individual models, it was derived that the differences were dependent on the installation of the triangular islands. CONCLUSIONS : As a result of reviewing previous studies, it is found that improving the installation warrants of triangular islands is reasonable. Through this study, the need to consider the volume and composition ratio of right-turn vehicles when installing a triangular island was also derived; these results also need to be referred to when improving the triangular island installation warrants.

Predicting remaining useful life (RUL) becomes significant to implement prognostics and health management of industrial systems. The relevant studies have contributed to creating RUL prediction models and validating their acceptable performance; however, they are confined to drive reasonable preventive maintenance strategies derived from and connected with such predictive models. This paper proposes a data-driven preventive maintenance method that predicts RUL of industrial systems and determines the optimal replacement time intervals to lead to cost minimization in preventive maintenance. The proposed method comprises: (1) generating RUL prediction models through learning historical process data by using machine learning techniques including random forest and extreme gradient boosting, and (2) applying the system failure time derived from the RUL prediction models to the Weibull distribution-based minimum-repair block replacement model for finding the cost-optimal block replacement time. The paper includes a case study to demonstrate the feasibility of the proposed method using an open dataset, wherein sensor data are generated and recorded from turbofan engine systems.

The increased turbidity in rivers during flood events has various effects on water environmental management, including drinking water supply systems. Thus, prediction of turbid water is essential for water environmental management. Recently, various advanced machine learning algorithms have been increasingly used in water environmental management. Ensemble machine learning algorithms such as random forest (RF) and gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) are some of the most popular machine learning algorithms used for water environmental management, along with deep learning algorithms such as recurrent neural networks. In this study GBDT, an ensemble machine learning algorithm, and gated recurrent unit (GRU), a recurrent neural networks algorithm, are used for model development to predict turbidity in a river. The observation frequencies of input data used for the model were 2, 4, 8, 24, 48, 120 and 168 h. The root-mean-square error-observations standard deviation ratio (RSR) of GRU and GBDT ranges between 0.182~0.766 and 0.400~0.683, respectively. Both models show similar prediction accuracy with RSR of 0.682 for GRU and 0.683 for GBDT. The GRU shows better prediction accuracy when the observation frequency is relatively short (i.e., 2, 4, and 8 h) where GBDT shows better prediction accuracy when the observation frequency is relatively long (i.e. 48, 120, 160 h). The results suggest that the characteristics of input data should be considered to develop an appropriate model to predict turbidity.

선박 및 수중구조물의 고속, 대형화 및 요구조건 강화의 추세에 따라 유동소음 예측기술의 중요성이 강조되고 있다. 항공, 철도 등의 공력소음 분야에서는 음향상사법을 이용하여 순음 및 광대역 유동소음에 대해 활발히 연구되고 있는 반면 조선해양분야에서는 수중추진기의 날개주파수소음에 대해서만 일부 고려되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 날개면 형상의 주요 유동소음발생 메커니즘 뒷날소음을 고려 가능한 FW-H Formulation 1B를 이용하여 수중추진기 및 선저부가물의 기초요소인 수중익에 대해 광대역소음 예측기법을 연구하였다. 기존의 FW-H Formulation 1B는 공기 중의 압력상관관계 모델에 기반하여 구성되어 있어 매질에 대한 일반성 및 정확도의 한계를 가지므로 수중환경에 대해 일반성을 가지는 벽면변동압력 모델로 확장하는 방법론을 제시하였다. 공기 중 날개면의 소음계측결과와 비교해 벽면변 동압력 모델을 이용할 경우 기존모델의 해석결과 대비 5 dB 이내의 오차로 정확도 관점에서의 유용성을 확인할 수 있었으며 전산유체역 학과 벽면변동압력을 이용한 수중환경의 광대역소음해석 절차를 확립하고 수중익의 광대역소음 예측을 수행하였다.

This study developed prediction models of chlorine bulk decay coefficient by each condition of water quality, measuring chlorine bulk decay coefficients of the water and water quality by water purification processes. The second-reaction order of chlorine were selected as the optimal reaction order of research area because the decay of chlorine was best represented. Chlorine bulk decay coefficients of the water in conventional processes, advanced processes before rechlorination was respectively 5.9072 (mg/L)-1d-1 and 3.3974 (mg/L)-1d-1, and 1.2522 (mg/L)-1d-1 and 1.1998 (mg/L)-1d-1 after rechlorination. As a result, the reduction of organic material concentration during the retention time has greatly changed the chlorine bulk decay coefficient. All the coefficients of determination were higher than 0.8 in the developed models of the chlorine bulk decay coefficient, considering the drawn chlorine bulk decay coefficient and several parameters of water quality and statistically significant. Thus, it was judged that models that could express the actual values, properly were developed. In the meantime, the chlorine bulk decay coefficient was in proportion to the initial residual chlorine concentration and the concentration of rechlorination; however, it may greatly vary depending on rechlorination. Thus, it is judged that it is necessary to set a plan for the management of residual chlorine concentration after experimentally assessing this change, utilizing the methodology proposed in this study in the actual fields. The prediction models in this study would simulate the reduction of residual chlorine concentration according to the conditions of the operation of water purification plants and the introduction of rechlorination facilities, more reasonably considering water purification process and the time of chlorination. In addition, utilizing the prediction models, the reduction of residual chlorine concentration in the supply areas can be predicted, and it is judged that this can be utilized in setting plans for the management of residual chlorine concentration.

PURPOSES : The purpose of this study is to compare applicability, explanation power, and flexibility of traffic accident models between estimating model using the statistical method and the machine learning method. METHODS: In order to compare and analyze traffic accident models between model estimated using the statistical method and machine learning method, data acquisition was conducted, and traffic accident models were estimated using statistical methods such as negative binomial regression model, and machine learning methods such as a generalized regression neural network (GRNN). Then, the fitness of model as R2, root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), accuracy, etc., were determined to compare the traffic accident models. RESULTS: The results showed that the annual average daily traffic (AADT), speed limits, number of lanes, land usage, exclusive right turn lanes, and front signals were significant for both traffic accident models. The GRNN model of total traffic accidents had been better statistical significant with R2: 0.829, RMSE: 2.495, MAPE: 32.158, and Accuracy: 66.761 compared with the negative binomial regression model with R2: 0.363, RMSE: 9.033, MAPE: 68.987, and Accuracy: 8.807. The GRNN model of injury traffic accidents also showed similar results of model’s statistical significance. CONCLUSIONS: Traffic accident models estimated with GRNN had better statistical significance compared with models estimated with statistical methods such as negative binomial regression model.

본 연구는 고추의 생육특성인 초장, 엽면적, 생체중, 건물중을 조사하였고, 기상요인에 따른 수량 예측 모델 개발을 위하여 수행되었다. 생육도일온도에 따른 고추의 생체중, 건물중, 초장 및 엽면적에 대한 생장 모델(시그모이드 곡선)을 개발하였다. 고추는 정식 후 50일 전후로 초장, 엽면적, 생체중 및 건물중이 지수 함수적으로 증가하였으며, 140일 이후에는 생장요인들이 평행을 이루었다. 그리고 생육도일온도에 따른 고추의 생장을 분석 한 결과 지수 함수적으로 생장이 늘어나는 시점의 GDD는 1,000였다. 고추의 건물중에 대한 상대생장 속도를 계산하는 식은 RGR (dry weight) = 0.0562 + 0.0004 × DAT − 0.00000557 × DAT2 였다. 수확한 적과의 생체중과 건물중으로 고추의 단수를 구하였을 때, 정식 후 112일에 1,3871kg/10a였고, 건고추의 단수는 정식 후 112일에 291kg/10a이였다. 고추 작황예측 프로그램 개발을 위해서는 고추의 생산성에 관여하는 주요 요인을 분석하고, 실시간으로 계측한 생육 및 기상자료를 기반으로 하여 생육모델을 보정 및 검증해야 할 것이다.

금지급 과실파리 침입시 대응조치(박멸프로그램) 실행과정에서 박멸프로그램의 종료는 3세대기간 동안 미포획되는 상황을 기준으로 하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 카람볼라과실파리(Bactocera carambolae), 구아바과실파리(B. correcta), 남방고추과실파리(B. latifrons), 작은퀸즐랜드과실파리(B. neohumeralis), 일본귤과실파리(B. tsuneonis) 등 5종에 대한 기존 온도발육자료를 바탕으로 세대기간 추정에 필요한 적산온도 모형을 제시하였다. 각 종의 세대기간 추정에 필요한 발육 영점온도와 적산온도는 칼람볼라과실파리 11.8℃와 384.6 Degree days(DD), 구아바과실파리 11.6℃와 454.5 DD, 남방고추과실파리 10.4℃와 517.5 DD, 작은퀸즐랜드과실파리 9.2℃와 467.8 DD로 추정되었다. 일화성인 일본귤과실파리의 경우는 월동용의 우화모형(발육영점은 11.3℃, 625 DD)을 이용하는 방법을 제안하였다.

The road surface condition in winter is important for road maintenance and safety. To estimate the road surface condition in winter, the RWIS(Road Weather Information System) is used. However RWIS is not measured the continuous road surface information but measured the locational road surface information. To overcome the current RWIS limitation, the thermal mapping sensor which can collect the road surface condition employed in some countries. Although the thermal mapping sensor can collect the continuous road surface information, it is difficult to collect vast data due to apply few probe car. This study suggests a specific methodology for the prediction of road surface temperature using vehicular ambient temperature sensors and collect road surface and vehicular ambient temperature data on the defined survey route in 2015 and 2016 year, respectively. To find out the correlation between road surface and ambient temperature which may affect patterns of road surface temperature variation, the various weather and topographical conditions along with the test route were considered. For modelling, all types of collected temperature data should be classified into response and predictor before applying a machine learning tool such as MATLAB. In this study, collected road surface temperature are considered as response while vehicular ambient temperatures defied as predictor. Through data learning using machine learning tool, models were developed and finally compared predicted and actual temperature based on average absolute error. According to comparison results, model enables to estimate actual road surface temperature variation pattern along the roads very well. Model III is slightly better than the rest of models in terms of estimation performance. When correlation between response and predictor is high, when plenty of historical data exists, and when a lot of predictors are available, estimation performance of would be much better.