PURPOSES: This study aims to review the concept of emergency road networks through previous studies and propose a risk and resilience evaluation method for selecting an emergency road network in the event of an earthquake disaster in major highways in Daejeon. METHODS : Risk assessment in consideration of the possibility, exposure, and vulnerability of relatively weak spots and sections in the event of an earthquake disaster on major highways in Daejeon Metropolitan City, and responsiveness, mitigation, and accessibility for urgent response to disaster recovery and management. The emergency road network selection method was proposed by taking into account resilience evaluation. Five levels of links were classified using the P-I method and the overall scores were calculated by considering the weighting factors. RESULTS : In the selected emergency road network, the main roads located near major disaster prevention facilities (public institutions) and response facilities (firefighting and emergency facilities) exhibited a high priority during the earthquake. In addition, highways that emphasized the speed and connectivity between the local emergency road network and the surrounding suburbs exhibited a high priority. CONCLUSIONS : To designate the emergency road network in advance, evaluation of vulnerable facilities and exposure points in the event of a disaster needs to be considered, which can be used to establish a disaster safety plan, thereby ensuring speed and continuity in disaster response.

항로에서의 위험도 평가 모델은 해상 교통량을 기초로 다양한 형태의 수학적 분석 방법 등이 응용되고 있다. 국내 해상교통안 전진단에서는 항로를 통항하는 선박 규모를 표준화시킨 해상교통혼잡도 모델을 활용하고 있으며, 해상교통혼잡도가 높으면 충돌과 같은 위험상황이 발생할 개연성이 높다고 해석하고 있다. 그러나 항로의 특정 지점에서 관측된 해상 교통량의 밀도 변화가 항로의 위험도를 표현할 수 있는지 보다 면밀한 과학적 검토가 필요하다고 판단된다. 본 연구에서는 항로에서의 충돌 및 좌초 등의 위험도를 확률적 기법으로 평가하는 IWRAP Mk2(IALA 공식 추천 평가모델) 모델로 항로 위험도를 체계적으로 평가하고, 동일 해역에서 해상교통혼잡도 모델로 해상교통혼잡도를 평가하여 항로 위험도와 해상교통혼잡도의 연관성을 분석하였다. 분석 결과, R2이 0.943인 선형함수가 도출되었으며, 유의수준에서도 유의성이 있는 것으로 분석되었다. 또한 Pearson 상관계수가 0.971로 높게 나타나 강한 정적 상관관계를 보였다. 이처럼 각각의 수학모델의 공통적인 입력 변수의 영향으로 항로 위험도와 해상교통혼잡도는 강한 연관성을 가지는 것으로 확인되었다. 이러한 연구 결과를 기반으로 항로 위험도를 예측할 수 있는 평가 기법이 고도화될 수 있는 모델 개발을 위한 응용 자료로 활용되기를 기대한다.

This study would present a risk analysis method to evaluate stable tap water supply in a multi-regional water supply system and propose a measure for the evaluation of the effect of the conjunctive operation of the multi-regional water supply system using this. Judging from the vulnerability for the crisis response of the entire N. multi-regional water supply system, as compared to the result of Scenario 1 in which no conjunctive pipes were operated, it was found that in Scenario 2, in which conjunctive pipes were partially operated, the vulnerability of crisis response decreased by about 30.6%, and as compared to Scenario 3, the vulnerability of crisis response decreased by 86.2%. In setting a plan for stable tap water supply in N multi-regional water supply system, using the estimated value and the method for the evaluation of the vulnerability of crisis response by pipe, by interval and by line, it is judged that this can be utilized as a basis for the judgment of the evaluation of the operation or the additional installation of conjunctive pipes.

PURPOSES: The purpose of this study is to identify the key factors that influence a driver’s trust in road-freezing risk information METHODS : A survey was designed and conducted in the metropolitan area to analyze drivers’perception towards road-freezing risk information. A binary logistic regression model was developed based on the survey responses. The statistically significant model coefficients were determined and their odds ratios were calculated. Finally, they were considered as the key factors influencing drivers’trust in roadfreezing risk information. RESULTS : The developed binary logistic regression model was validated through statistical tests. The final results indicated that previous experiences of accidents on slippery roads, as well as route choice patterns are statistically significant, having 95% confidence levels. CONCLUSIONS : Previous experiences of accidents on slippery roads and road choice patterns are the factors that most significantly influence drivers’trust in road-freezing risk information. The findings of this study will be used as fundamental data in establishing tailored road-freezing risk mitigation procedures and services.

This research carried out a study on the job characteristics of the skipper of the coastal composite fishing vessels in order to find a way to prevent the ship collision caused by the highest human error among the marine casualty of fishing boats. Video observation was used as the research method in which six CCD cameras were installed on the vessel to collect image data and data extracted from the image were analyzed to derive the results of the functional activity of skipper according to the fishing operation process of experimental fishing vessel. The results are as follows. The working process of the experimental fishing vessel consisted of navigation for fishing ground, setting line, waiting for hauling line, hauling line and navigation to homeport. In these processes, the skipper was performing watchkeeping in the wheelhouse in which he carried out a single task, a dual task that performed two tasks simultaneously, and a triple task that performed two or more tasks simultaneously. In addition, one of the risk factors causing the collision was a no watchkeeping in the wheelhouse for navigating for fishing ground, waiting for hauling line, and hauling line at 25.4%, 64.6% and 0.3%, respectively among the marine casualty while drowsiness caused 1.2% of the marine casualty in navigating for fishing ground. Concurrent tasks that simultaneously perform two or more tasks that can overlook any other important duties while carrying out watchkeeping in the wheelhouse include 51.3% of navigation for fishing ground, 81.9% of setting line, 19.0% of waiting for hauling line, 87.9% of hauling, and 88.7% of navigation to homeport. The above concurrent tasks yielded an average of 66.1%. Experimental fishing vessels are required to focus on ship handling operations related to fishery operations, and the skipper is assigned more activities and attention to fishery related tasks. Therefore, it is considered desirable to build a collision prevention system that is appropriate to the characteristics of the skipper’s work, escaping from transferring the responsibility of ship collision to the skipper completely.

본 연구는 수중활동에서 나타나는 인체의 생리적 변화와 알코올 섭취로 인한 생리적 변화를 살펴보고 알코올 섭취가 스쿠버다이버에게 미치는 영향을 규명하는데 그 목적이 있다. 미국 내부통제연구소위원회의 내부통제 프레임워크를 기초로 본 연구에 적합하도록 새롭게 정립한 ‘리스크 평가 및 분석(RAA, risk assessment and analysis)’ 기법을 활용하여 알코올 섭취 전과 후의 리스크 분석을 실시하였다. RAA기법은 리스크 간 상관관계를 분석하는 1단계, 리스크를 정량화하고 리스크 데이터베이스를 구축하는 2단계, 그리고 이를 도식화하여 리스크맵을 분석하는 3단계로 이루어져 있다. RAA기법을 통해 알코올 섭취로 인한 수중활동의 리스크수준이 전반적으로 증가하여 고위험군의 비율이 높아진 것을 확인하였고 리스크수준의 정량화와 고위험군 분류를 통해 리스크관리 측면에서 우선통제대상을 지정할 수 있었다. 본 연구 결과는 알코올 섭취 후 행해지는 스쿠버다이빙의 위험성을 명확하게 알리고 이에 대한 스쿠버다이버들의 의식 개선을 도모하여 보다 안전한 스쿠버다이빙 환경을 제시할 수 있을 것으로 기대한다.

우리나라 해역에서 발생하는 해양사고 중 어선사고가 약 70%를 차지하고 있음에도 불구하고, 대부분의 연구는 해양사고 전체를 대상으로 하고 있으며 단순히 사고 발생률에 대한 분석과 사고 발생 빈도를 줄이기 위한 대책 마련에 중점을 두고 있다. 그러나 효과적인 사고 저감 대책의 수립과 이를 실행하기 위해서는 정량적인 사고 위험도 예측 및 평가가 반드시 선행되어야 한다. 본 연구에서는 해양안전심판원의 최근 5년간의 어선사고 통계에 근거하여 9가지 사고유형에 대한 위험도를 연도별로 비교하였다. 또한 현재 우리나라의 경우 객관적인 위험도 평가기준이 없다는 점을 고려하여 이에 대한 대안으로 사고 유형별 사고 빈도와 사고 피해의 조합을 4사분면 상에 표시하는 2차원 사고 빈도-피해 매트릭스를 제안하고 이를 이용하여 사고 빈도와 사고 피해의 영향을 쉽게 확인할 수 있도록 하였다. 이러한 과정을 통한 위험도 평가 결과는 저감대책을 수립하고 안전대책을 마련하는 정책 제안자로 하여금 보다 다양하고 현실적인 사고 저감 대책을 마련하는데 도움을 줄 것이다. 또한 위험도 평가 매트릭스를 이용하여 각 사고유형에 대한 인적오류를 포함한 사고 원인의 상대적인 빈도 및 결과를 비교함으로써 사고 유형별로 원인에 따른 차별화된 위험 저감 대책을 수립할 수 있다.

The seismic safety of nuclear power plants has always been emphasized by the effects of accidents. In general, the seismic safety evaluation of nuclear power plants carries out a seismic probabilistic safety assessment. The current probabilistic safety assessment assumes that damage to the structure, system, and components (SSCs) occurs independently to each other or perfect dependently to each other. In case of earthquake events, the failure event occurs with the correlation due to the correlation between the seismic response of the SSCs and the seismic performance of the SSCs. In this study, the EEMS (External Event Mensuration System) code is developed which can perform the seismic probabilistic safety assessment considering correlation. The developed code is verified by comparing with the multiplier n, which is for calculating the joint probability of failure, which is proposed by Mankamo. It is analyzed the changes in seismic fragility curves and seismic risks with correlation. As a result, it was confirmed that the seismic fragility curves and seismic risk change according to the failure correlation coefficient. This means that it is important to select an appropriate failure correlation coefficient in order to perform a seismic probabilistic safety assessment. And also, it was confirmed that carrying out the seismic probabilistic safety assessment in consideration of the seismic correlation provides more realistic results, rather than providing conservative or non-conservative results comparing with that damage to the SSCs occurs independently.

최근 해상 교통 환경의 변화로 인해 해군함정 사고가 지속적으로 발생하고 있으며, 특히 2017년 미 해군 구축함 사고로 인해 심각한 인명피해가 발생하였다. 이에 본 연구에서는 해군 교육 자료, 해군함정 사고 재결서, 미구축함 사고 분석 보고서의 해군함정 사고사례를 이용해 해군함정 사고를 분석하고 시나리오를 구축하였다. 이를 위해 조사한 자료를 중심으로 함정 사고 현황을 파악하고 사고사례를 분석하였다. 사고재현 절차에 따라 사고사례 17건을 재현하고 해군함정 사고 시나리오를 구축하였다. 해군함정 사고 17건의 CPA, TCPA 및 PARK 모델 위험도 분석 결과, 충돌위험은 평균적으로 사고발생 5~6분 전을 기준으로 증가하는 것으로 분석되었다. 본 연구의 결과를 해군 사례 교육 및 시뮬레이션 교육의 시나리오 기초자료로 제공하여 해양사고 예방에 기여하고자 한다.

Frequent surveys and monitoring were conducted in the Southern part of Bangladesh to detect and identify the plant pathogenic virus that infecting agriculturally important vegetables during 2017-2018. A total of 28 fields of the survey area were closely monitored. The findings indicated that 21.94% of the plants developed typical virus disease like symptomps in the field. However, 28.21% infected plants were found in Patuakhali followed by Satkhira (23.11%), Khulna (19.33%) and Barguna (17.12%). The symptoms were mosaic, vein clearing, chlorosis, curling and ringspot. Twenty samples from the collections were randomly chosen on the basis of symptoms and subjected to Enzyme-linked Immunosorbent Assay (ELISA) with the antiserum and symptomalogy were used for detection. Eight viruses namely Cucumber mosaic virus (CMV), Okra yellow vein clearing mosaic virus (OYVCMV), Mungbean yellow mosaic virus (MYMV), Tomato yellow leaf curl virus (TYLCV), Pepper mottle virus (PMV), Papaya ringspot virus (PRSV), Watermelon mosaic virus (WMV) and Zucchini yellow mosaic virus (ZYMV) were detected on cucumber, okra, brinjal, mungbean, tomato, pepper, papaya, watermelon and pumpkin respectively.

In this paper, we identify risk factors that are likely to occur during the lifecycle of a new product development (NPD) project from the literatures, and identify the three objectives or three constraints that will ultimately be achieved for project success in the ICT industry : performance (scope/quality), schedule (time), and cost. Firstly, we interviewed the project experts to classify the risk factors according that the final project objectives are changeable based on scope/quality, time and cost budget constraints. Secondly, the survey for pairwise comparisons between the risk factors was asked to the project managers and members who had ever actually participated in the NPD projects of ICT industry to determine the priority ranks on relative importance using AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process). The risk factors negatively affecting the goals of projects were analyzed by using the AHP respectively in four project stages during the life cycle of the project. The comparison of risk factors within each stage is a different approach unlike the literatures which have covered project’s overall risk assessment. There is an advantage that risk management can be effectively performed with priorities according to each stage from the start to the end of the project. In other words, it is necessary to identify what risk factors will occur in each stage, and to have ideas at each stage with the priorities so that they can be mitigated and eliminated before actual occurrence. As a result, risks on scope & quality changes were found to be the most important considerations for initiative stage of NPD projects in the ICT industry, whereas in the final stage, risks on schedule (time) changes were the most important priorities. Among the ICT industry product categories, ‘communication and broadcasting devices’ and ‘IT and communication based devices’ generally have a high priority in terms of risks on scope & quality changes when initiating the project. At the closing stage of the project, however, considering that schedule (time) changeable risk is getting higher, these products tend to target at B2B market rather than B2C because the new products must be delivered and launched in time as customer firm required.

The steel pipe manufacturing industry deals with facilities and materials. Especially thermal facilities are close to vapor cloud explosion (VCE) and may cause secondary damage to facilities because they deal with corrosive substances such as hydrofluoric acid, sulfuric acid and acid, fire, explosion, leakage etc. It is in danger. In this study, hazard identification method was conducted using HAZOP techniques and quantitative risk analysis was conducted using e-CA, a program that supports accident impact analysis. Equipment in the influence range of ERPG - 3 was determined to be a facility requiring replacement. It was decided that neutralization is necessary using slaked lime. Based on the cost of loss, We presented the proper replacement which is the timing of the dangerous facility. As a result, It was ideal to replace the facilities with 20 years of heat treatment facilities, one year of hydrofluoric acid storage tank, 20 years of sulfuric acid storage tank, and 5 years of hydrochloric acid storage tank.

목적: 제 5기 국민건강영양조사(2011년, 2012년) 자료를 기반으로 우리나라 나이관련황반변성(age-related macular degeneration)과 비타민과 무기질의 섭취의 상관성을 분석하였다. 방법: 국민건강영양조사 제 5기 과정 중 2011, 2012년도 조사대상자 중 건강 검진, 안과 검진과 영양검진 조사를 받은 45세 이상 성인을 대상으로 나이관련황반변성과 비타민, 무기질섭취량의 상관성을 분석하였다. 나이관련황반변성의 연관성은 교차분석과 카이제곱 검정으로 분석하고, 위험비(odds ratio)는 로지스틱 회귀분석으로 구하고 유의수준은 0.05 이하로 하였다. 결과: 국민건강영양조사를 받은 45세 이상의 한국인 6,219명 중 나이관련황반변성 유병률은 9.6%로 나타 났다. 초기 나이관련황반변성은 비타민 A, B1, B2, B3 및 C와 칼슘, 인, 철, 나트륨, 칼륨의 섭취와 상관성이 있었으며, 비타민 B3 섭취량이 평균 미만인 경우는 평균이상인 경우보다 초기 나이관련황반변성의 발생 위험이 1.35배(95% 신뢰구간:1.03~1.78) 높았다. 나이관련황반변성 말기 환자 군에서는 칼륨과 비타민 B2 섭취량이 평균보다 적으면 유병률이 높았으며, 칼륨 섭취량이 평균 미만인 경우는 발병 위험이 4.3배(95% 신뢰구간:1.76~10.59) 높았다. 결론: 비타민과 무기질의 섭취는 나이관련황반변성의 발병 위험과 병의 진행을 억제하는 것으로 사료된다.