Prediction on Future Effect of Consultation about Energy Use Plan
The Consultation about Energy Use Plan is prescribed by the Rational Energy Utilization Act. This paper proposes a regression model for estimating consultation objects each year. Analysis results predict for the next six years that the mean annual energy saving effect is 13.2%, mean annual CO2 reduction effect is 13.4% and benefit-cost ratio is 2.48, it means economic and social future effect with the Consultation about Energy Use Plan are very excellent. Also the effect of introducing system improving efficiency of energy use is expected to account for 62%, recovering waste heat account for 17%, introducing group energy supply account for 18% and utilizing new․renewable energy system account for nearly 3% of total energy savings on plan for improving efficiency.