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농촌개발사업 효과의 정량적 평가 및 공간적 연관 분석 KCI 등재

Quantitative Effect Evaluation and Spatial Autocorrelation Analysis of Rural Development Projects

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농촌계획 (Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning)
한국농촌계획학회 (Korean Society Of Rural Planning)
초록

A lot of rural development projects have been planned and implemented for revitalizing rural areas in South Korea. However, it is not easy to properly evaluate and quantitatively analyze project outcomes. For this reason only selected regions have been evaluated for rural projects by government agencies. In this study, we analyzed the purpose and the contents of the Rural Village Development Project (RVDP) and Green Tourism Village Project (GTVP) to find indicators for evaluating results of rural projects using logistic regression analysis. Outputs of this study show that RVDPs increase regional population and GTVPs positively affect the sales of agricultural products. We also estimated the spatial distribution of project effects through spatial autocorrelation analysis and local-spatial autocorrelation analysis. Results show that the Moran's I values for the proportion of farmers with avocational jobs, product sales changes, and population growth in Jeol-La province are positive and the biggest one is population growth. Especially, key areas of agricultural product sales are widely distributed.

저자
  • 서교(서울대학교 조경․지역시스템공학부, 서울대학교 농업생명과학연구원) | Suh, Kyo Corresponding author
  • 이정재(서울대학교 조경․지역시스템공학부, 서울대학교 농업생명과학연구원) | Lee, JeongJae
  • 김태곤(서울대학교 대학원 조경․지역시스템공학부) | Kim, Taegon
  • 배연정(서울대학교 대학원 조경․지역시스템공학부) | Bae, Yeonjoung
  • 이지민(서울대학교 농업생명과학대학 연수연구원) | Lee, Jimin