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Forecasting the phenology of important lepidopterous pests, Grapholita molesta, Grapholita dimorpha and Carposina sasakii: I. Case study of plum
- 언어ENG
- URLhttps://db.koreascholar.com/Article/Detail/289524
The study was conducted to investigate the phenological distribution of G. molesta, G. dimorpha and C. sasakii and to estimate the emergence timing of three species in plum orchards. It was known that G. molesta and G. dimorpha are a multi-voltine insect and C. sasakii has one to two generations depending on temperature and geographic location. Three species damage to many economically important fruit tree such as plum, pear, peach and apple. The main emergence time of each species is different depending on host plant and environmental conditions, specially temperature. Therefore, if we have the information of population density and low temperature threshold of a species and air mean temperature of a region in previous year we can predict the phenology of a species in present year. This is one part of consecutive research. Data collection was carried out in seven plum-growing commercial orchards of Uiseong in 2010 and 2011. The commercial pheromone monitoring traps (GreenAgroTech) were used to investigate the flight phenology of three speices. The record of temperature was received from meteorological center close to monitoring orchards. The relationships between degree-day accumulated above the low temperature threshold and cumulative proportion of accumulated moth caught of previous year was used to predict the phenology of three species in present year. The results of G. molesta and G. dimorpha estimated by bimodal functions were better than those analyzed by nonlinear functions. The phenology of C. sasakii was analyzed well by nonlinear function and the equation 3, 6, 8 and 11 were selected based on AICc and BIC. The selected equations were validated in each orchard.
