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시설용량을 초과하는 폐수량의 유입확률 분석을 위한 극치분포모델의 적용에 관한 연구 KCI 등재

A study on the application of the extreme value distribution model for analysis of probability of exceeding the facility capacity

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상하수도학회지 (Journal of the Korean Society of Water and Wastewater)
대한상하수도학회 (Korean Society Of Water And Wastewater)
초록

It was confirmed that the extreme value distribution model applies to probability of exceeding more than once a day monthly the facility capacities using data of daily maximum inflow rate for 7 wastewater treatment plant. The result of applying the extreme value model, A, D, E wastewater treatment plant has a problem compared to B, C, F, G wastewater treatment plant. but all the wastewater treatment plant has a problem except C, F wastewater treatment plant based 80% of facility capacity. In conclusion, if you make a standard in statistical aspects probability exceeding more than once a day monthly can be ‘exceed day is less than a few times annually’ or ‘probability of exceeding more than once a day monthly is less than what percent’.

목차
1. 서 론
 2. 연구방법
  2.1 극치분포(Extreme Value Distribution)
  2.2 MLE(Maximum Likelihood Estimation)
  2.3 연구대상 및 데이터 전처리
 3. 결과 및 고찰
  3.1 월별 일최대유입량
  3.2 모델매개변수
  3.3 모델 진단
  3.4 시간에 따른 월 1회 이상 초과 유입확률
 4. 결 론
 References
저자
  • 최성현(중앙대학교 토목공학과) | Sunghyun Choi
  • 유순유(중앙대학교 토목공학과) | Soonyoo Yoo
  • 박태욱(중앙대학교 토목공학과) | Taeuk Park
  • 박규홍(중앙대학교 토목공학과) | Kyoohong Park Corresponding author