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RCP 시나리오에 따른 남해안 어업 및 어종의 기후변화 노출 분석:수온 변동을 대상으로 KCI 등재

An Analysis on the Climate Change Exposure of Fisheries and Fish Species in the Southern Sea under the RCP Scenarios: Focused on Sea Temperature Variation

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  • URLhttps://db.koreascholar.com/Article/Detail/321691
구독 기관 인증 시 무료 이용이 가능합니다. 4,600원
水産經營論集 (수산경영론집)
한국수산경영학회 (The Fisheries Business Administration Society Of Korea)
초록

The purpose of this study is to analyze the climate change exposure of fisheries and fish species in the southern sea of Korea under the RCP climate change scenarios. The extent of exposure was calculated through weighted sum of the sea temperature forecasted by National Institute of Fisheries Science, and the weight were obtained from the time-space distribution of each fisheries or species, based on the micro-data for the fishing information reported by each fisherman. Results show that all the exposed sea temperature of RCP8.5 is higher than that of RCP4.5 in year 2100 as well as in near 2030, therefore it is thought to be very important to reduce the GHG emission even in the short term. The extent of exposure was analyzed to be comparatively high especially in the fisheries such as anchovy drag nets and species like cod, anchovy and squid. Meanwhile the method of this study is considered to be excellent to obtain the accurate extent of exposure under RCP scenarios, and therefore it is applicable on assessing the vulnerability of climate change in fisheries.

저자
  • 김봉태(한국해양수산개발원 수산연구본부) | Bong-Tae Kim Corresponding author
  • 이준수(국립수산과학원 기후변화연구과) | Joon-Soo Lee
  • 서영상(국립수산과학원 기후변화연구과) | Young-Sang Suh