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Output and Real Exchange Rate in Developing Countries: Evidence from China KCI 등재

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  • URLhttps://db.koreascholar.com/Article/Detail/336048
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산경연구논집 (JIDB) (산경연구논집)
한국유통과학회 (Korea Distribution Science Association)
초록

Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to analyze the relationship between the real exchange rate and the output, which is based on the macroeconomic equilibrium theory in China. Its aim will be to verify whether the change in the real exchange rate has a significant effect on the output or not. Research design, data, and methodology - This study endeavors triestoinvestigatethecorrelationamongeconomicvariablesunder the macroeconomic market (the commodity market and the money market) equilibrium. So, time-series data from 1990 to 2016 is applied to establish a vector auto-regression (VAR) model so as to perform an empirical analysis. Results - The empirical results reveal that an increase in the real exchange rate will result in an increase in the output in the short run. However, the empirical results also indicate that this kind of mechanism cannot work in the long run. Conclusions - The effect of a decrease of real exchange rate on output is significant in the short run. Also, this paper suggests that the total supply and the total demand can promote economic growth. The fiscal and money policy play a significant role in economic growth in China as well.

저자
  • Xingang Huan(Grain Economics Research Center, School of Economics and Trade, Henan University of Technology, China)
  • Yugang He(Department of International Trade, Chonbuk National University, Korea.) Corresponding author