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Oil Price Fluctuations and Stock Market Movements: An Application in Oman KCI 등재 SCOPUS

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한국유통과학회 (Korea Distribution Science Association)
초록

It is undisputable that crude oil and its price fluctuations are major components that affect most of the countries’ economies. Recent studies have demonstrated that beside the impact that crude oil price fluctuations have on common macroeconomic indicators like gross domestic product (GDP), inflation rates, exchange rates, unemployment rate, etc., it also has a strong influence on stock markets and their performance. This relationship has been examined in a number of settings, but it is yet to be unraveled in the Omani context. Accordingly, the main purpose of this study is to examine the possible effect of the oil price fluctuations on stock price movements. The study applies Toda and Yamamoto’s (1995) Granger non-causality test on the daily Oman stock index (Muscat Securities Market Index) and oil prices between the period of 2 January 2003 and 13 March 2016. The results indicated that the oil price fluctuations have a significant impact on stock index movements. However, the stock price movements do not have a significant impact on oil prices. These findings have significant implications not only for the Omani economy but also for the economy of similar countries, particularly in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries. The latter should carefully consider their policies and strategies regarding crude oil production and the generated income allocation as it might potentially affect the financial markets performance in these countries.

목차
1. Introduction0F
 2. Literature Review
 3. Methodology
 4. Results
 5. Discussion and Conclusion
저자
  • Abdelghani Echchabi(Department of Accounting and Finance, College of Business Administration, A’Sharqiyah University,) Corresponding Author
  • Dhekra Azouzi(Faculty of Economic Sciences and Management, University of Tunis El-Manar)