Purpose: In Korea, it is generally believed that national soccer team is prone to miss a goal at definite chance remarkably, compared with foreign teams. Even though it has long history and wide social attention, there has been few efforts to confirm whether this belief is true or not. In this study, we presumed that the belief around Korean national soccer team's performance is a cognitive bias and stereotype coined and reinforced by the sports media and examined this belief empirically. Methods: The whole data of official matches between Korean and foreign national soccer teams over the 2000-2013 period were collected and 205 matches statistics of 77 national teams including Korean were analyzed. The ‘chance-to-goal ability’ between Korean and foreign national teams were compared. And then, Korean team's ‘chance-to-goal ability’ was compared by match results and relative team's strength to opponent team in detail. Results: There is no significant difference in ‘chance-to-goal ability’ between Korean and foreign national soccer teams. In addition, Korean team's ‘chance-to-goal ability’ varied by match results and opponent team's strength. Lastly, there is negligible correlation between ‘chance-to-goal ability’ and team's strength. Conclusion: The ‘chance-to-goal ability’ of Korean national soccer team is not different from that of foreign teams, and this result goes against deep-rooted belief. The probable causes of the result and implications for the future research are discussed.

I. 서 론
 Ⅱ. 연구방법
  1. 연구대상
  2. 측정도구
  3. 자료처리 방법
 Ⅲ. 결 과
  1. 한국 축구대표팀과 외국 축구대표팀의골결정력, 득점, 슈팅수 차이 비교
  2. 경기결과 및 상대팀 경기력에 따른 한국 축구대표팀의 골결정력 차이 비교
  3. 골결정력과 팀경기력의 상관관계 분석
 Ⅳ. 논의 및 결론
 참고문헌

• 최우열(국민대학교 체육학과) | Woo-Yurl Chweh (Department of Physical Education, Kookmin University)
• 홍준희(국민대학교 체육학과) | Jun-Hee Hong (Department of Physical Education, Kookmin University) Corresponding author