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On the Seasonal Prediction of Traffic Accidents in Relation to the Weather Elements in Pusan Area

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한국환경과학회지 (Journal of Environmental Science International)
한국환경과학회 (The Korean Environmental Sciences Society)
초록

The traffic accidents in large cities such as Pusan metropolitan city have been increased every year due to increasing of vehicles numbers as well as the gravitation of the population. In addition to the carelessness of drivers, many meteorological factors have a great influence on the traffic accidents. Especially, the number of traffic accidents is governed by precipitation, visibility, humidity, cloud amounts and temperature, etc.
In this study, we have analyzed various data of meteorological factors from 1992 to 1997 and determined the standardized values for contributing to each traffic accident. Using the relationship between meteorological factors(visibility, precipitation, relative humidity and cloud amounts) and the total automobile mishaps, an experimental prediction formula for their traffic accident rates was seasonally obtained at Pusan city in 1997.
Therefore, these prediction formulas at each meteorological factor may be used to predict the seasonal traffic accident numbers and contributed to estimate the variation of its value according to the weather condition in Pusan city.

저자
  • 이동인(부경대학교 환경대기과학과) | Dong In Lee
  • 이문철(부경대학교 환경대기과학과) | Moon Chul Lee
  • 유철환(부경대학교 환경대기과학과) | Cheol Hwan You
  • 이상구(환경관리공단) | Sang Koo Lee
  • 이철기(서울경찰청 교통개선기획실) | Choul Ki Lee