This paper investigates regime shifts in the wintertime Siberian High central intensity for the period from 1950 to 2017. One regime shift was found from a test for multiple regime shifts. A Markov switching model analysis identified the period of 1950-1987 as a strong intensity regime, 1988-2017 as a weak intensity regime, and 1987-1988 as the changepoint. We also found a regime shift in the wintertime temperature in Asia, which is consistent with that in the intensity of the anticyclone. The periods of 1950- 1986 and 1988-2017 are a low and high temperature regime, respectively, and the changepoint is 1986-1988.

Abstract
 1. 서론
 2. 연구 자료 및 연구 모형
  1) 연구 자료
  2) 연구 모형
 3. 실증 분석 결과
  1) 레짐전환 횟수의 검정 결과
  2) 마코프 레짐전환 모형 추정 결과
  3) 아시아 기온의 레짐전환
 4. 결론
 References

• 배진호(건국대학교 경제학과) | Jinho Bae (Department of Economics, Konkuk University) Correspondence