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주가수익률에 대한 각국별 거시경제변수의 영향분석 - VAR모형 사용 -

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구독 기관 인증 시 무료 이용이 가능합니다. 5,700원
대한안전경영과학회 (Korea Safety Management & Science)
초록

The estimate on volatility of stock price is related with optimum of portfolio and Important for allocation of capital asset. If the volatility of stock price is varied according to macroeconomic variables on monetary policy and industrial production, it will assist capital asset to allocate. This paper is related with stock market volatilities on macroeconomic variables in U.S. and Europe, Korea. And, it Is pertain to vary in time of this variables. Thus, this paper is related with volatilities of monetary and physical macroeconomic variables on basis of statistics. And, it is ranged front capital investment to portfolio allocation. Also, this paper takes out of sample forecast and study more after this. In case Germany, France, Italy and the Netherlands, the relative importance of monetary policy and Industrial production Is different from these countries. In case Italy and the Netherlands, monetary policy is primary factor at stabilizing for volatility of stock price. In case Korea, increasing monetary policy and industrial production is positively affected stock market. It is that the positive effect of stock price is caused by mollifying monetary policy and economic growth. Specially, this conclusion is similar to US. In Korea, gradual increase in monetary and industrial production is necessary to stability of stock market. It is different to previous results on basis of increasing stock price of money in long period.

목차
Abstract
 I. 서론
 II. 문헌연구
 III. 자료와 기초통계분석
 IV. 주가 수익률에 대한 거시경제적 요소들의 영향분석
 V. 요약 및 결론
 참고문헌
저자
  • 김종권