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Does the Gap between Domestic and International Gold Price Affect Money Demand?: Evidence from Vietnam KCI 등재 SCOPUS

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한국유통과학회 (Korea Distribution Science Association)
초록

The paper aims to investigate the impact of the gap between domestic and international gold price on money demand in Vietnam, an emerging economy in the Asian region. We use a quarterly database collected from the first quarter of 2004 to the fourth quarter of 2016. The time-series database includes 52 observations. The money demand is represented by M2; Domestic income is the Gross domestic product at the constant prices of 1994; Inflation rate is calculated by the Customer Price Index from the General Statistics Office of Vietnam. The result confirms the existence of a long-term cointegration relationship between the money demand and the gap between domestic and international gold price as well as some variables including domestic income, inflation, and real exchange rate. The regression results also show that the gap between domestic and international gold price has a positive impact on money demand in the Vietnamese economy. Besides, the domestic income and international gold price have positive impacts on money demand while the inflation and real exchange rate are negatively related in the long run. This proves that the gap between the domestic and international gold price really has a positive impact on money demand in Vietnam during the study period.

목차
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Overview of the Gold Market in Vietnam
3. Literature Review
4. Data and Methodology
    4.1. Methodology
    4.2. Data Source
5. Results and Discussion
    5.1. Unit Root Test and Cointegration Test
    5.2. Correlation Analysis
    5.3. Regression Results
6. Conclusions and Policy Implication
References
저자
  • Le Thanh TUNG(Faculty of Economics and Public Management, Ho Chi Minh City Open University) Corresponding Author.