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복합극한기후지수를 이용한 우리나라 여름철과 겨울철 극한기후현상의 공간 범위 변화와 미래전망 분석 KCI 등재

Examination on the Spatial Coverage Change and Future Projection of Climate Extreme Events during Summer and Winter in South Korea Using a Combined Climate Extreme Index

  • 언어KOR
  • URLhttps://db.koreascholar.com/Article/Detail/407109
  • DOIhttps://doi.org/10.14383/cri.2021.16.1.53
서비스가 종료되어 열람이 제한될 수 있습니다.
기후연구 (Journal of Climate Research)
건국대학교 기후연구소 (KU Climate Research Institute)
초록

This paper has presented not only the spatial coverage change of climate extreme events in summer and winter seasons during the period of 2000-2017, but also their future projections in 2021-2100, South Korea through analysis of a Combined Climate Extreme Index (CCEI). The CCEI quantifies the spatial coverage of climate extreme events based on a set of five indicators. MK (Modified Korean)-PRISM (Parameter-elevation Regression on Independent Slopes Model)v1.2 (1×1km) and RCP scenario data (1×1km) were applied to CCEI. Results indicated that in average, 21.7% of the areas in the summer and 23.6% in the winter experienced climate extremes from 2000 to 2017 regardless of types of climate extreme events in South Korea. The summer of 2003 and 2009 was relatively cool and humid, while the summer of 2014 and 2015 was cool and dry and the summer of 2016 was warm and dry. The extreme events with much above normal maximum and minimum temperature during the study period were detected but not much below normal maximum and minimum temperature after 2015. For RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 scenarios, there were statistically significant trends with spatial coverage expansion of climate extreme events in the future. It might be concluded that climate extreme events in the summer and winter seasons were affected simultaneously by two or more indicators than a single indicator in South Korea.

목차
1. 서론
2. 연구자료 및 방법
    1) 연구자료
    2) 연구방법
3. 관측자료 기반 극한기후의 특성
    1) 여름철 극한기후의 특성
    2) 겨울철 극한기후의 특성
4. 미래 극한기후 변화 전망
    1) 여름철
    2) 겨울철
5. 요약 및 결론
사사
References
저자
  • 민숙주(건국대학교 기후연구소) | Sookjoo Min (Climate Research Institute, Konkuk University)
  • 최영은(건국대학교 지리학과) | Youngeun Choi (Department of Geography, Konkuk University) Correspondence
  • 문자연((주)포디솔루션 기업부설연구소) | Ja-Yeon Moon (Research Institute, 4D Solution, Co., Ltd.)
  • 김유진(건국대학교 기후연구소) | Yujin Kim (Climate Research Institute, Konkuk University)
  • 김맹기(공주대학교 대기과학과) | Maeng-Ki Kim (Department of Atmospheric Science, Kongju National University)
  • 최다솜(기상청 기후변화감시과) | Dasom Choi (Climate Change Monitoring Division, Korea Meteorological Administration)
  • 문희수(건국대학교 지리학과) | Heesoo Moon (Department of Geography, Konkuk University)