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북한 민자고속도로 건설방안의 실증적 연구 ; 민간투자방식을 위주로 KCI 등재

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한국도로학회논문집 (International journal of highway engineering)
한국도로학회 (Korean Society of Road Engineers)
초록

PURPOSES : A North Korean private-financed highway is constructed in this study using an appropriate financing introduction method.
METHODS : Based on the North Korea traffic demand prediction model, we assume that private finance investors construct three lines in North Korea. In addition, private finance can recover invested money with real toll income via the South Korean toll system in 30 years.
RESULTS : The results indicate that private finance parties can recover invested money in two lines in North Korea within 30 years, whereas the remaining line cannot. A collection period is 30 years, the future traffic volume, utilization rate by vehicle type, and toll rate based on the Korea Highway Corporation system are assumed.
CONCLUSIONS : The public private partnership market undergoes many types of changes. In the early stages of private investment projects in England, the toll model is implemented, followed by the shadow toll model. Subsequently, the availability payment model is implemented. To promote private finance funding for the North Korean expressway, the South Korea government should subsidize money for uncollectable lines. Using these models, the availability payment and hybrid annuity model will reduce the risks of private parties in North Korea private financed highways.

목차
ABSTRACT
1. 서론
2. 이론적 배경
    2.1. SOC 민간투자사업
    2.2. 북한 SOC관련 선행연구
3. 북한의 민자고속도로 건설방안
    3.1. 연구분석의 틀
    3.2. 재무모델 분석을 위한 주요가정
    3.3. 재무모델 추정결과
    3.4. 민간투자방식과 재원조달 회수방식
4. 결론
    4.1. 연구결과 요약 및 연구의 의의
    4.2. 연구의 한계점 및 향후 연구과제
REFERENCES
저자
  • 정대형(중앙대학교 동북아학과 북한개발협력과정) | Jung Dae Hyung
  • 이정희(중앙대학교 경제학과) | Lee Jung Hee (Department of economics, Chung-Ang University) 교신저자