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고속도로 교통사고에 의한 러버넥킹 영향 분석 연구 KCI 등재

A Study on the Influence Factors of Rubbernecking by Expressway Traffic Accidents

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한국도로학회논문집 (International journal of highway engineering)
한국도로학회 (Korean Society of Road Engineers)
초록

PURPOSES : In this study, we quantitatively prove the rubber necking phenomenon for highway traffic accidents and develop a calculation model based on the influencing factors.
METHODS : Vehicle detector speed data in the opposite direction to the accident point were used based on the accident data on highways over the past three years, and a comparative verification was performed between nearby vehicle detector data to verify the reliability of the data. Accordingly, a binomial logistic model, ordinal probit regression model, and multilinear regression model were developed to compare the orientation.
RESULTS : There was a difference in the influencing factors based on the dependent variable, and the day of the week, vehicle type, weather, longitudinal slope, and median height had an effect. Through a regression analysis, an influence coefficient was derived to calculate the driving speed deceleration value by rubbernecking. The results of the model analysis proved that the speed reduction caused by rubbernecking was more evident during the daytime than at night, during weekends compared to weekdays, and the speed reduction was more obvious for heavy vehicles compared to other types of vehicles. It can also be concluded that longer clearance time, higher accident severity, and higher traffic volume affect traffic delay. To verify the data and model equation, the mean prediction bias (MPB) and mean absolute deviation (MAD) were calculated for hundred cases randomly extracted from the collected accident data. These results were excellent.
CONCLUSIONS : It can be developed into a human-engineered model that reflects various road/facility conditions, such as highways, other lanes, general roads, and roads without a median strip. This study is meaningful as a basic study on the quantitative effect of rubber necking.

목차
ABSTRACT
1. 서론
2. 기존 문헌 고찰
3. 분석방법론 설정 및 데이터 특성 분석
    3.1. 분석방법론 설정
    3.2. 기초자료 특성 분석
4. 교통사고에 의한 러버넥킹 영향 모형 개발
    4.1. 종속변수에 따른 연구모형 개발
    4.2. 적용방안
5. 결론
REFERENCES
저자
  • 임준범(한국교통안전공단 교통안전연구처 책임연구원) | Lim Joonbum
  • 홍석기(한국도로공사 강원본부 기술처장) | Hong Seokky
  • 신소명(서울시립대학교 교통공학과 박사수료) | Shin Somyoung
  • 박준태(한국교통대학교 교통시스템공학과 연구교수) | Park Juntae Corresponding author