PURPOSES : This study empirically analyzes the determinants of fatal accidents based on raw data on traffic accidents occurring in Chungnam in 2020.
METHODS : Regression models based on theoretical arguments for fatal traffic accidents are estimated using a binomial logit model.
RESULTS : The prediction model for fatal accidents is affected by the degree of urbanization of the region, month and day of the accident, type of accident, and type of law violation. In addition, speeding or illegal U-turns among law violations appear more likely to result in fatal accidents. The road surface conditions at the time of the accident do not show a significant difference in the probability of fatality among traffic accidents. However, the probability of a fatal accident is rather lower in case of a snowy road; this is plausible, as drivers tend to drive more carefully in bad weather conditions.
CONCLUSIONS : Among traffic accidents, fatal accidents appear to be affected by the time and place of the accident, type of accident, and weather conditions at the time of the accident. These analysis results suggest policy implications for reducing fatal accidents and can be used as a basis for establishing related policies.

ABSTRACT
1. 서론
2. 이론적 배경과 분석모형
    2.1. 이론적 배경
    2.2. 분석모형
3. 자료 및 변수
    3.1. 자료
    3.2. 변수
4. 실증분석 결과
5. 결론
REFERENCES

• 김원철(충남연구원 공간・환경연구실 연구위원) | Kim Wonchul
• 홍성효(국립공주대학교 경제통상학부 교수) | Hong Sung Hyo Corresponding Author