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A Study on Predition of Annual Disposal Capacity for Gyeongju Radioactive Waste Repository Using System Dynamics Modeling

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한국방사성폐기물학회 학술논문요약집 (Abstracts of Proceedings of the Korean Radioactive Wasts Society)
한국방사성폐기물학회 (Korean Radioactive Waste Society)
초록

Gyeongju radioactive waste repository has been operated to dispose low and intermediate level radioactive waste in Korea since 2016. Currently, only deep geological disposal facility (1st) is in operation, surface disposal facility (2nd) is scheduled to operate from 2024. As a result, the annual amount of radioactive waste that can be disposed of at deep geological disposal facilities and surface disposal facilities is almost determined. According to this result, it was possible to derive the total annual disposal amount to dispose of all radioactive waste at the Gyeongju repository after landfill disposal facility (3rd) construction. To evaluate it, a predictive model has been designed and radioactive waste generation, storage, and disposal data were input. The predictive model is based on system dynamics, which is useful to analyze the correlation between input variables. As a result of analysis, radioactive waste generation amount and maximum annual radioactive waste disposal were predicted to reach 741,615 drum and 17,030 drum per year respectively. From these results, it seems that the expansion of radioactive waste acceptance system or temporary storage is necessary.

저자
  • Yuwhwa Son(Korea Radioactive Waste Agency (KORAD)) Corresponding author
  • Jachul Ha(Korea Radioactive Waste Agency (KORAD))
  • Chunhyung Cho(Korea Radioactive Waste Agency (KORAD))
  • Hyunchul Kwon(Korea Radioactive Waste Agency (KORAD))