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교통문화지수의 내생성을 고려한 교통사고 결정요인 실증분석 KCI 등재

Empirical Analysis of Determinants of Traffic Accidents Considering Endogeneity of Transport Culture Index

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한국도로학회논문집 (International journal of highway engineering)
한국도로학회 (Korean Society of Road Engineers)
초록

PURPOSES : This study empirically examines the determinants of traffic accidents by focusing on the transport culture index. METHODS : Two-stage least-squares estimation using an instrumental variable is used as the identification strategy. As the instrumental variable of the transport culture index, its past values, particularly before the outbreak of COVID-19 in 2018 are used. RESULTS : The empirical results, considering the potential endogeneity of the transport culture index, show that areas with higher values of the index are likely to have fewer traffic accident casualties. Local governments of regions with relatively frequent traffic accidents can run campaigns for residents to fasten their seatbelts, causing reverse causation. Ignoring this type of endogeneity underestimates the importance of the index as a key determinant of traffic accidents. CONCLUSIONS : Several traffic accidents occur in Korea, e.g., 203,130 accidents with 291,608 injuries and 5,392 deaths. As traffic accidents cause social costs, such as delays in traffic flow and damage to traffic facilities, public interventions are required to reduce them. However, the first step in public intervention is to accurately understand the relationship between the degree of damage in traffic accidents and the transport-related attributes of the areas where the accidents occurred. Although the transport culture index appears to be an appropriate indicator for predicting local traffic accidents, its limitations as a comprehensive index need to be addressed in the future.

목차
1. 서론
2. 선행연구 고찰 및 차별성
    2.1. 선행연구 고찰
    2.2. 차별성
3. 분석자료 및 기초통계
    3.1. 분석자료
    3.2. 기초통계
4. 분석모형 및 분석결과
    4.1. 분석모형
    4.2. 분석결과
5. 결론
REFERENCES
저자
  • 홍성효(국립공주대학교 경제통상학부 교수) | Hong Sung Hyo
  • 김원철(충남연구원 공간, 환경연구실 연구위원) | Kim Wonchul (Research Fellow, Dept.of Spatial & Environmental Planning, Chungnam Institute 73-26, Yeonsuwon-gil, Gongju-si, Chungcheongnam-do 32589, Korea) Corresponding author