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A System Dynamics Model of Rational ROKA Maintenance Personnel Level for Future Operation Support KCI 등재
미래 한국육군 작전지원을 위한 적정 정비병력 산정 시스템 다이나믹스 모형
- 언어KOR
- URLhttps://db.koreascholar.com/Article/Detail/436627
pp.39-50
As the number of enlistees decreases due to social changes like declining birth rates, it is necessary to conduct research on the appropriate recalculation of the force that considers the future defense sufficiency and sustainability of the Army. However, existing research has primarily focused on qualitative studies based on comprehensive evaluations and expert opinions, lacking consideration of sustained support activities. Due to these limitations, there is a high possibility of differing opinions depending on perspectives and changes over time. In this study, we propose a quantitative method to calculate the proper personnel by applying system dynamics. For this purpose, we consider a standing army that can ensure the sufficiency of defense between battles over time as an adequate force and use battle damage calculated by wargame simulation as input data. The output data is the number of troops required to support activities, taking into account maintenance time, complexity, and difficulty. This study is the first quantitative attempt to calculate the appropriate standing army to keep the defense sufficiency of the ROK Army in 2040, and it is expected to serve as a cornerstone for adding logical and rational diversity to the qualitative force calculation studies that have been conducted so far.
1.1 연구 배경 및 목적
1.2 연구 내용
2. 선행연구 고찰
3. 문제정의 및 모형 구성
3.1 모형개요
3.2 인과 지도
3.3 시스템 다이나믹스 모형
3.4 스톡플로우 다이어그램 작성
3.5 VV&A
4. 병력 산정 모형의 분석
4.1 시뮬레이션 결과 및 해석
4.2 방위 충분성 달성을 위한 최적화
4.3 민감도 분석
5. 결 론
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