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단기 미래 도착 교통량 예측을 통한 적응식 신호제어 기법 연구 KCI 등재

Study on Adaptive Signal Control Methods Using Prediction of Short-term Traffic Arrivals

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한국도로학회논문집 (International journal of highway engineering)
한국도로학회 (Korean Society of Road Engineers)
초록

In this study, we propose an adaptive traffic control method that utilizes predictions of near-future traffic arrivals at a signalized intersection based on real-time data collected at an upstream intersection to design acyclic traffic signal timing accordingly. The proposed adaptive control method utilizes a deep learning model developed in this study to predict future traffic arrivals at downstream intersections 24 s ahead based on upstream intersection data at 4 s decision intervals. Using the predicted arrival traffic volume, signal timings were designed to minimize delays. A rolling-horizon approach was employed to correct the prediction errors during this process. The performance of the proposed traffic signal control method was validated by comparing it with the traditional time-of-day (TOD) traffic signal operation method over a 24 h period. The results of comparative validation tests conducted through simulations in a virtual environment indicate that the proposed adaptive traffic control system operates efficiently to minimize average control delays. During the morning peak period, a reduction time of 43.19 s per vehicle (57.02%) was observed, whereas the afternoon peak period exhibited a reduction of 37.91 s per vehicle (48.35%). Additionally, data analysis revealed that the optimal phase length suggested by the pre-timed method, which assumes uniform vehicle arrivals, is statistically identical at a 95% confidence level to the average phase length of the adaptive traffic control system, which assumes random vehicle arrivals. This study confirms the necessity of adopting proactive real-time signal control systems that utilize a new traffic information collection method to respond to dynamic traffic conditions and move away from conventional TOD signal operation, which primarily focuses on peak commuting hours. Additionally, it confirms the need for a fundamental shift in the underlying philosophy traditionally used in traffic signal design

목차
ABSTRACT
1. 서론
2. 선행연구 고찰
3. 교통신호 운영변수 설계기법
    3.1. 단기 미래 교통흐름 예측 방법
    3.2. 제안된 적응식 교통신호제어 기법
4. 제안된 방법의 검증
    4.1. 검증 여건 및 방법
    4.2. 검증 결과
5. 결론
감사의 글
REFERENCES
저자
  • 김동협(한국교통대학교 교통시스템공학과 연구교수) | Kim DongHyeop
  • 김진태(한국교통대학교 교통시스템공학과 교수) | Kim Jin-Tae Corresponding author