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The Impact of Perpetual Swaps Introduction on Market Complexity and Efficiency in Cryptocurrency Markets KCI 등재

암호화폐 시장에서 무기한 선물 도입이 시장 복잡성 및 효율성에 미치는 영향

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한국산업경영시스템학회지 (Journal of Society of Korea Industrial and Systems Engineering)
한국산업경영시스템학회 (Society of Korea Industrial and Systems Engineering)
초록

This study investigates the impact of perpetual swaps on structural complexity and market efficiency within cryptocurrency markets. Utilizing 15-minute interval price data from 35 cryptocurrencies, we employ multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MF-DFA), Multifractal-based measure of the degree of market efficiency (MED), and Market deficiency measure (MDM) to comparatively evaluate market characteristics before and after the introduction of perpetual swaps. Our empirical analysis reveals a substantial decrease in multifractality and structural complexity across most cryptocurrencies post-introduction, particularly pronounced over longer horizons (4–6 months). This reduction indicates enhanced information dissemination and more efficient price formation mechanisms. Notably, Bitcoin (BTC), benefiting from superior liquidity and efficient information flow, exhibited relatively stable multifractal characteristics, although significant volatility driven by fat-tail distributions remained persistent. Statistically significant improvements in market efficiency were consistently demonstrated via paired t-tests, one-sided t-tests, and Wilcoxon non-parametric tests. These improvements were particularly salient during extended observation periods, providing robust empirical evidence that perpetual swaps markedly enhance market efficiency. Consequently, our findings highlight that the introduction of perpetual swaps contributes meaningfully to cryptocurrency market efficiency beyond mere liquidity enhancement, promoting more accurate price discovery and reducing informational asymmetries.

목차
1. 서 론
2. 연구 방법
    2.1 Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis
    2.2 Multifractal 특성의 원인
    2.3 멀티프랙탈 기반 시장 효율성 측정
3. 데이터
4. 연구 결과
5. 결 론
Acknowledgement
References
저자
  • Seungeun Ock(Department of Industrial Engineering, Hanyang University) | 옥승은 (한양대학교 산업공학과)
  • Jae Wook Song(Department of Industrial Engineering, Hanyang University) | 송재욱 (한양대학교 산업공학과) Corresponding author