In the coastal waters of Jeju, six-year data (2019 – 2024) indicate that fishing vessels under ten tons represented an annual average of 80.89% of accidents, with the distribution by tonnage as 1-5 tons, 5-10 tons, and under one ton. While capsizing and sinking accounted for a smaller fraction of total incidents, their frequency increased annually with sinking observed in 2024 after being absent in the previous five years. Predictive analysis suggests that five or more capsizing events per year should occur after 2024, highlighting the close correlation between vessel stability and accident occurrence. The characteristics of 339 FRP Fishing vessels under ten tons in Jeju waters were analyzed. The length-to-beam ratio (L/B) ranged from 1.857 to 5.013, and the breath-to-depth ratio (B/D) from 1.638 to 5.768 with an average of 3.183. Breath was identified as the primary determinant of vessel length: shorter vessels tended to have smaller L/B and larger B/D ratios. Using multiple regression analysis based on fishing ground departure from the ten test vessels, predicted stability values (GM) revealed 41 vessels (12.09%) with negative stability with values ranging from 0.100 to 0.541 and indicated that beam had the greatest influence. These results indicate that insufficient stability, particularly among vessels under two tons, is closely associated with higher capsizing risk. Consequently, this study proposes practical stability criteria based on regression-estimated values and suggests that Korean regulations should lower the minimum applicability threshold for stability requirements to prevent accidents. Continuous data collection and evaluation are recommended to strengthen vessel safety standards.

서 론
재료 및 방법
    초기 복원성 평가
    해양사고의 통계 자료
    제주연안 어선 통계자료
    분석 대상 선박
결과 및 고찰
    전복사고 추세 분석
    선박 제원 통계 분석
    GM 예측 회귀식 분석
    시험 선박  분석
    IMO 안전성 기준 비교
결 론
사 사
References

• 이창헌(제주대학교 해양과학대학 교수) | Chang-Heon LEE (Professor, College of Ocean Sciences, Jeju National University, Jeju 63243, Korea)
• 김광일(제주대학교 해양과학대학 교수) | Kwang-Il KIM (Professor, College of Ocean Sciences, Jeju National University, Jeju 63243, Korea)
• 강원식(제주대학교 해양과학대학 교수) | Won-Sik KANG (Professor, College of Ocean Sciences, Jeju National University, Jeju 63243, Korea)
• 진송한(중소조선연구원 조선해양기술협력본부 본부장) | Song-Han JIN (Director, Shipbuilding & Offshore Technology Cooperation Division, Research Institute of Medium & Small Shipbuilding, Busan 46757, Korea)
• 이준호(중소조선연구원 조선해양 기술협력본부 수석연구원) | Jun-Ho LEE (Principal Researcher, Shipbuilding & Offshore Technology Cooperation Division, Research Institute of Medium & Small Shipbuilding, Busan 46757, Korea)
• 김민선(국립군산대학교 해양수산공공인재학과 교수, 국립군산대학교 수산과학연구소 연구원) | Min-Son KIM (Professor, Department of Public Service in Ocean and Fisheries, Kunsan National University, Jeonbuk 54150, Korea, Researcher, Fisheries Science Institute, Kunsan National University, Jeonbuk 54150, Korea) Corresponding author