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Correlation Analysis for Development and Validation of Climate Exposure Indicators for Climate Impact Vulnerability Assessment of Cool-Season Grasses KCI 등재

Gi-Beom Nam, Il-Kyu Yoon, Jun-Woo Lee, Chang-Woo Min, Seung-Hak Yang, Yong-Gu Kim, Dong-Hyun Kim, Byung-Hyun Lee
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  • URLhttps://db.koreascholar.com/Article/Detail/451820
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한국초지조사료학회지 (Journal of The Korean Society of Grassland Science)
한국초지조사료학회 (The Korean Society of Grassland and Forage Science)
초록

This study aimed to develop and verify climate exposure indicators to evaluate the vulnerability of cool-season grasses to climate change in South Korea. A correlation analysis was conducted between climate factors and productivity of cool-season grasses using nationwide productivity data from 1993 to 2024 collected through literature search and the National Institute of Animal Science (n=542), along with productivity data from field experiments conducted in Jinju and Jangheung over two years (n=15; total n=557). The cool-season grass species included in this analysis were primarily orchardgrass (Dactylis glomerata L.), tall fescue (Festuca arundinacea Schreb.), perennial ryegrass (Lolium perenne L.) and timothy (Phleum pratense L.). The correlation analysis results indicated that productivity of cool-season grasses had a significant positive correlation with the mean temperature, mean minimum temperature, and mean maximum temperature during the winter and spring seasons, as well as the growing degree days from November to March. To validate the correlation analysis between temperature and yield, we compared the results with field experiments. The findings from the field trials were consistent with the correlation analysis, reinforcing the reliability of the indicators. In contrast, the number of rainy days in July exhibited a significant negative correlation with productivity. This suggests that waterlogging during the rainy season reduces the growth and yield of cool-season grasses. Therefore, we propose that winter and spring temperatures, growing degree days, and summer precipitation serve as key climate exposure indicators that explain variations in cool-season grass productivity. Although these climate exposure indicators can be utilized to evaluate climate vulnerability, continuous data accumulation and analysis are necessary to further strengthen the explanatory and predictive power of these variables in future agricultural applications.

키워드
Cool-season grassesProductivityClimate changeIndicatorsVulnerability assessment
목차
ABSTRACT
Ⅰ. INTRODUCTION
Ⅱ. MATERIALS AND METHODS
    1. Field Experiments on Cool-Season Grasses
    2. Collection of Cool-Season Grass Productivity andClimate Data
    3. Statistical Analysis
Ⅲ. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
    1. Comparison of Correlation Analysis and FieldExperimental Results of Forage Crops
    2. Derivation of Climate Exposure Indicators
Ⅳ. CONCLUSION
Ⅴ. ACKNOWLEDGMENT
Ⅵ. REFERENCES
저자
  • Gi-Beom Nam(Division of Applied Life Science (BK21) and IALS, Gyeongsang National University, Jinju 52828, Republic of Korea)
  • Il-Kyu Yoon(Division of Applied Life Science (BK21) and IALS, Gyeongsang National University, Jinju 52828, Republic of Korea)
  • Jun-Woo Lee(Division of Applied Life Science (BK21) and IALS, Gyeongsang National University, Jinju 52828, Republic of Korea)
  • Dong-Hyun Kim(Division of Applied Life Science (BK21) and IALS, Gyeongsang National University, Jinju 52828, Republic of Korea)
  • Byung-Hyun Lee(Division of Applied Life Science (BK21) and IALS, Gyeongsang National University, Jinju 52828, Republic of Korea) Corresponding author
  • Yong-Gu Kim(Division of Applied Life Science (BK21) and IALS, Gyeongsang National University, Jinju 52828, Republic of Korea, National Institute of Horticultural and Herbal Science, RDA, Eumseong 27709, Republic of Korea)
  • Chang-Woo Min(Division of Applied Life Science (BK21) and IALS, Gyeongsang National University, Jinju 52828, Republic of Korea, National Institute of Animal Science, RDA, Cheonan 31000, Republic of Korea)
  • Seung-Hak Yang(National Institute of Animal Science, RDA, Cheonan 31000, Republic of Korea)