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Operational Concept of a Dynamic Multilayered Defense System Considering Information Uncertainty KCI 등재

정보 불확실성을 고려한 동적 다층방어체계 운용개념 연구

Byungyeon Kim, Nahye Lee, Jaeha Park, Taegu Kim, Soon Hyung Park, Lae Eun Kim
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한국산업경영시스템학회지 (Journal of Society of Korea Industrial and Systems Engineering)
한국산업경영시스템학회 (Society of Korea Industrial and Systems Engineering)
초록

The growing sophistication of adversarial ballistic missile threats, along with the development of multilayered defense systems to counter them, has increased the importance of establishing efficient operational concepts. However, existing studies on multilayered defense and weapon allocation have mainly focused on dynamic allocation procedures or time constraints, and have not sufficiently reflected the uncertainty of detection information and its changes over time, which serve as key grounds for decision- making. This study proposes a dynamic command-system-based operational concept for multilayered defense that allows command decisions to be revised in response to changes in detection information, and develops an effectiveness simulation tool to implement it. The proposed operational concept is designed to reflect real operational environments in which detection information is updated progressively over time, enabling the continuous reassessment of existing engagement plans and weapon-target allocation results. In addition, comparative experiments were conducted by varying the timing of information utilization in order to verify the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed concept. The results show that an early response increases unnecessary allocations and cancellations due to low information accuracy, whereas a delayed response limits interception opportunities because of reduced available response time. A strategy that responds after a certain level of information accuracy has been secured was found to be superior in terms of both resource utilization efficiency and defense effectiveness. These findings demonstrate that an operational concept adaptive to changes in information can have a meaningful impact on actual defense effectiveness, and they provide implications for establishing command-and-control structures and procedures for future multilayered defense systems.

키워드
Missile DefenseMultilayered Defense SystemWeapon-Target Assignment(WTA)Dynamic AssignmentInformation Uncertainty
목차
1. 서 론
2. 다층방어 운용개념
    2.1 분석 대상
    2.2 운용개념 논리
3. 효과도 시뮬레이션
    3.1 개요 및 환경 설정
    3.2 프로그램 구조 및 실행 절차
    3.3 결과 분석 및 출력 구성
4. 실 험
    4.1 실험 설계
    4.2 실험 결과
5. 결 론
Acknowledgement
References
저자
  • Byungyeon Kim(Department of Industrial and Management Engineering, Hanbat National University) | 김병연 (국립한밭대학교 산업경영공학과)
  • Nahye Lee(Department of Industrial and Management Engineering, Hanbat National University) | 이나혜 (국립한밭대학교 산업경영공학과)
  • Jaeha Park(Department of Industrial and Management Engineering, Hanbat National University) | 박재하 (국립한밭대학교 산업경영공학과)
  • Taegu Kim(Department of Industrial and Management Engineering, Hanbat National University) | 김태구 (국립한밭대학교 산업경영공학과) Corresponding author
  • Soon Hyung Park(LIG Defense&Aerospace) | 박순형 (LIG 디펜스&에어로스페이스)
  • Lae Eun Kim(LIG Defense&Aerospace) | 김래은 (LIG 디펜스&에어로스페이스)