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MaxEnt를 활용한 기후변화와 토지 피복 변화에 따른 멸강나방 및 혹명나방의 한국 내 분포 변화 분석과 예측 KCI 등재

Analysis and estimation of species distribution of Mythimna seperata and Cnaphalocrocis medinalis with land-cover data under climate change scenario using MaxEnt

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  • URLhttps://db.koreascholar.com/Article/Detail/415403
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한국환경생물학회 (Korean Society Of Environmental Biology)
초록

Among migratory insect pests, Mythimna seperata and Cnaphalocrocis medinalis are invasive pests introduced into South Korea through westerlies from southern China. M. seperata and C. medinalis are insect pests that use rice as a host. They injure rice leaves and inhibit rice growth. To understand the distribution of M. seperata and C. medinalis, it is important to understand environmental factors such as temperature and humidity of their habitat. This study predicted current and future habitat suitability models for understanding the distribution of M. seperata and C. medinalis. Occurrence data, SSPs (Shared Socio-economic Pathways) scenario, and RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) were applied to MaxEnt (Maximum Entropy), a machine learning model among SDM (Species Distribution Model). As a result, M. seperata and C. medinalis are aggregated on the west and south coasts where they have a host after migration from China. As a result of MaxEnt analysis, the contribution was high in the order of Land-cover data and DEM (Digital Elevation Model). In bioclimatic variables, BIO_4 (Temperature seasonality) was high in M. seperata and BIO_2 (Mean Diurnal Range) was found in C. medinalis. The habitat suitability model predicted that M. seperata and C. medinalis could inhabit most rice paddies.

목차
Abstract
서 론
재료 및 방법
    1. 연구 범위 및 출현 자료
    2. 환경 변수
결 과
    1. 멸강나방 서식지 적합성 및 Binary map
    2. 혹명나방 서식지 적합성 및 Binary map
고 찰
적 요
사 사
REFERENCES
저자
  • 박태철(경상대학교 식물의학과) | Taechul Park (Department of Plant Medicine, Gyeongsang National University, Jinju 52828, Republic of Korea)
  • 장호중((주)분석기술과미래 중앙연구소) | Hojung Jang (Analysis Technology and Tomorrow (ATNT), Gimcheon 39510, Republic of Korea)
  • 엄소은(경상대학교 식물의학과) | SoEun Eom (Department of Plant Medicine, Gyeongsang National University, Jinju 52828, Republic of Korea)
  • 손기문(경상대학교 식물의학과) | Kimoon Son (Department of Plant Medicine, Gyeongsang National University, Jinju 52828, Republic of Korea)
  • 박정준(경상대학교 식물의학과, 경상대학교 농업생명과학연구원) | Jung-Joon Park (Department of Plant Medicine, Gyeongsang National University,Institute of Agriculture and Life Science, Gyeongsang National University) Corresponding author