낙동강 하구 기수생태 복원이 본격으로 논의가 진행 전인 2016년까지는 하류 수위의 예측을 위해 하구에서 수km 떨어진 기존 조위관측소(부산 및 가덕도)의 측정 자료를 활용하여 분석을 수행하였지만, 조위와 위상 차이로 인해 예측이 용이하지 않았다. 따라서, 낙 동강 하굿둑 인접 외해역에서 조석 영향을 받는 수위관측치를 이용하여 조석조화분해를 통한 정밀한 조위 예측 산정의 필요성이 대두되 어 본 연구를 수행하였다. 연구의 방법으로는 낙동강하굿둑 인근 외해역에서 10분 간격으로 기간별 관측자료의 저장상태 및 이상자료 유 무를 확인하고, 조석조화분해 프로그램인 TASK2000(Tidal Analysis Software Kit) Package를 이용하여 관측조위와 예측조위를 1대 1 비교하여 회귀상관분석을 수행하였다. 분석 결과, 관측조위와 예측조위간의 상관도는 0.9334로 높게 나타났으며, 당해 연도의 조위예측 분석시 직전 연도의 1년 조석관측 자료를 조화분해하여 산출된 조화상수를 이용하여 조위예측을 실시하면 보다 정확한 결과를 산출할 수 있음을 확인 하였다. 이를 바탕으로 2022년 예측조위를 생성하여 낙동강 하구 기수생태 복원의 해수유입량의 산정에 활용 중이다.
본 연구에서는 칠발도, 거문도, 동해에서 20년 이상 관측된 파랑자료를 16 방위별 극치확률분석을 통해 재현빈도별 심해설 계파를 산정하였고, 이 값을 방향을 고려하지 않은 전방향파의 심해설계파와 비교하였다. Weibull 분포함수를 확률분포함수로 사용하였 으며, 최소자승법을 사용해서 매개변수를 결정하였다. 추정된 분포함수는 Kolmogorov-Smirnov 방법을 사용하여 적합도를 검증하였다. 그 결과 방향별로 구한 심해설계파가 전방향파의 심해설계파보다 모든 방향에서 상대적으로 작은 것으로 나타났다. 파향별로 구한 50년 빈도 설계파고는 칠발도, 거문도, 동해에서 각각 7.46 m(NNE), 12.05 m(S), 9.69 m(SSW)가 최대값이지만, 전방향파로 구한 설계파고는 각각 7.91 m, 13.82 m, 10.38 m이었다. 이는 현재 해양 및 연안 구조물 설계에 사용하고 있는 16 방위별 심해설계파고가 과소산정되었을 가능 성이 있음을 보여준다.
This study analyzed the characteristics of strong winds accompanying typhoons for a period of 116 years, from 1904 to 2019, when modern weather observations began in Korea. Analysis shows that the average wind speed and high wind rate caused by typhoons were higher over the sea and in the coastal areas than in the inland areas. The average wind speed was higher over the West Sea than over the South Sea, but the rate of strong wind was greater over the South Sea than over the West Sea. The average wind speed decreased by 1980 and recently increased, while the rate of strong winds decreased by 1985 and has subsequently increased. By season, the strong winds in autumn (september and october) were stronger than those in summer (june, july, and august). Strong winds were also more frequent in autumn than in summer. The analysis of the changes in strong winds caused by typhoons since the 1960s shows that the speed of strong winds in august, september, and october has increased more recently than in the past four cycles. In particular, the increase in wind speed was evident in fall (september and october). Analysis of the results suggests that the stronger wind is due to the effects of autumn typhoons, and the increased possibility of strong winds.
In this study, monthly average values of BOD, COD, and TOC observed for 10 years (2008–2017) in the Nam River were estimated, and monthly variations of BOD, COD, and TOC were analyzed. Monthly average COD was always higher than monthly average BOD; monthly average TOC was high from June to September when rainfall was high. Monthly correlation coefficients between BOD and COD ranged from 0.57 to 0.94, those between BOD and TOC from 0.45 to 0.93, and those between COD and TOC from 0.75 to 0.93. The correlation coefficients were high from November to February when rainfall was low. Regression analyses for monthly average water quality data of the Nam River classified into dry season (October to April) and wet season (May to September) were conducted. Correlation coefficients were higher in the dry season than those in the wet season, and the determination coefficients of linear regression functions for BOD and COD with TOC were also higher in the dry season than those in the wet season. From this study, it can be concluded that it is appropriate to use monthly data to analyze the correlations among BOD, COD, and TOC in the stream. To analyze the relationship between TOC flowing into the stream and BOD/COD, it was found that seasonal characteristics should be considered.
Herein, we analyzed the spatial and temporal variation of DO (dissolved oxygen), BOD (biochemical oxygen demand), and COD (Chemical Oxygen Demand) with the monthly mean observed data for 10 years (2008~2017) in the main stream of the Nakdong River. The water quality of the stations declined in a downstream direction, with the BOD and COD showing their highest values at the ST5 station. From the analysis of the correlation of water quality components at 10 stations, the correlation coefficient between the DO and water temperature was more than –0.90, and that between BOD and Chl-a was 0.48~0.85, and that between COD and TOC was more than 0.65 except for the ST5 and ST10 stations. From the regression analysis using data collected from all stations, the water temperature and DO decreased linearly with a coefficient of determination of 0.90, and the Chl-a and BOD could be described by increasing power functions with a coefficient of determination of 0.83. The TOC and COD followed increasing logarithm functions with a coefficient of determination of 0.58. The TOC efficiency at the 10 stations was estimated and the average efficiencies of BOD and COD were 15.5~36.3% and 57.4~89.6%, respectively.