본 연구에서는 풍력발전기 허브의 구조적 안정성을 확보하기 위하여 국가바람지도를 이용한 극한풍속을 추정하였다. 대상지역은 우리나라 풍력발전 주요지역인 15개 지역을 선정하였고 수치기상자료(2005년~2007년)의 시계열 풍속으로부터 일최대풍속과 월최대풍속을 추출하여 평가시간을 환산하였다. 수치기상자료의 신뢰성을 판단하기 위해 풍황측정자료와 비교하였고 극치분포해석의 확률분포모델은 Gumbel분포 및 Weibull분포를 통해 극한풍속을 추정하였다. 본 연구의 결과로부터 극한풍속을 추정함에 있어 월최대풍속자료를 사용하는 것이 적합한 것으로 판단된다.

This study has analyzed the scale, location, resource potential and feasibility of offshore wind farm scientifically and systematically based on the national wind map and GIS. For long-term wind power development, this study pursues siting strategy building, selection of target area and deciding development priority as well as the presenting a basis for assessment that are necessary for policy decision making by making theme layers under GIS environment. According to the analysis after organizing technological development by stages, even if only the most suitable sites are developed among the area of offshore wind farm candidates that can be developed under the current technological standard, it has been evaluated as being able to develop about 3 times of the wind power dissemination target until 2012. It is expected that about 5% of territorial water area can be developed in a short-term future while the southern offshore area possessing relatively favorable wind resource than the western offshore has been identified as the most feasible site. While about 23% of territorial water area has been classified as potential area for offshore wind farm development in a long-term future, even Jeju Island and offshore of Ulsan possessing excellent wind resource have been analyzed as feasible sites. The feasibility assessment of offshore wind farm development established by this study is expected to assist national strategy building for accomplishing the wind power dissemination target.