This study develops a machine learning-based tool life prediction model using spindle power data collected from real manufacturing environments. The primary objective is to monitor tool wear and predict optimal replacement times, thereby enhancing manufacturing efficiency and product quality in smart factory settings. Accurate tool life prediction is critical for reducing downtime, minimizing costs, and maintaining consistent product standards. Six machine learning models, including Random Forest, Decision Tree, Support Vector Regressor, Linear Regression, XGBoost, and LightGBM, were evaluated for their predictive performance. Among these, the Random Forest Regressor demonstrated the highest accuracy with R2 value of 0.92, making it the most suitable for tool wear prediction. Linear Regression also provided detailed insights into the relationship between tool usage and spindle power, offering a practical alternative for precise predictions in scenarios with consistent data patterns. The results highlight the potential for real-time monitoring and predictive maintenance, significantly reducing downtime, optimizing tool usage, and improving operational efficiency. Challenges such as data variability, real-world noise, and model generalizability across diverse processes remain areas for future exploration. This work contributes to advancing smart manufacturing by integrating data-driven approaches into operational workflows and enabling sustainable, cost-effective production environments.

With the spread of smart manufacturing, one of the key topics of the 4th industrial revolution, manufacturing systems are moving beyond automation to smartization using artificial intelligence. In particular, in the existing automatic machining, a number of machining defects and non-processing occur due to tool damage or severe wear, resulting in a decrease in productivity and an increase in quality defect rates. Therefore, it is important to measure and predict tool life. In this paper, v-ASVR (v-Asymmetric Support Vector Regression), which considers the asymmetry of є-tube and the asymmetry of penalties for data out of є-tube, was proposed and applied to the tool wear prediction problem. In the case of tool wear, if the predicted value of the tool wear amount is smaller than the actual value (under-estimation), product failure may occur due to tool damage or wear. Therefore, it can be said that v-ASVR is suitable because it is necessary to overestimate. It is shown that even when adjusting the asymmetry of є-tube and the asymmetry of penalties for data out of є-tube, the ratio of the number of data belonging to є-tube can be adjusted with v. Experiments are performed to compare the accuracy of various kernel functions such as linear, polynomial. RBF (radialbasis function), sigmoid, The best result isthe use of the RBF kernel in all cases