수온과 기후 지수 자료를 이용하여 한국주변해 상층부의 수온변동과 북태평양 기후체제와의 관계를 분석하였다. 1970, 1980 그리고 1990년대 후반에 발생한 기후체제전환은 해양생태계의 구조 변화에 중요한 영향을 끼쳤다. 북서태평양 대륙주변부에 위치한 우리나라 주변해역 또한, 10년 이상의 장주기적인 변화의 영향을 받지만, 해역별 반응은 다르다. 동해, 서해 , 남해 상층부(10 m)의 경우 1988년의 기후체제전환은 3개 해역의 상층부 수온변화에서 동시에 나타난다. 반면, 1998년은 동해남부해역과 서해, 1976년의 기후체제전환은 전해역의 겨울철 수온변화에서만 그 영향이 나타난다. 1998년 기후체제전환 이후, 서해, 동중국해, 동해 남부의 수온은 점차 감소하지만, 동해 북부해역은 1988년 기후체제전환 이후 증가하는 형태이다.

This study analyzed how the impacts of major teleconnection patterns on December mean temperature in Korea have been changed during the period before and after the regime shift of 1986 for the last 61 years from 1958 to 2018. During the period before the regime shift, the teleconnection patterns originating from the North Atlantic mainly affected the temperature variability in Korea, but its influence almost disappeared after the regime shift. On the other hand, the Arctic Oscillation (AO) and warm Arctic and cold Eurasia (WACE) patterns played a more important role in the temperature variability in Korea after the regime shift. Regression analysis showed that the AO could explain about 12% of the total temperature variability before the regime shift, but about 22% after the regime shift. WACE pattern also explained about 4% before the regime shift, but after the regime shift, the importance increased by about 4.5 times to 18%. On the other hand, East Atlantic pattern (EA) and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), which are east-west teleconnection patterns, explained 27% and 11%, respectively, before the regime shift, but had little influence within 3% after the regime shift. This means that the influence of east-west teleconnection patterns disappeared after the regime shift, and teleconnection patterns by the Arctic Circle became more important.

The Korean Peninsula has experienced regime shift (RS) in winter temperature since the mid-1980s. After the RS, monthly mean temperature significantly increased by 1.05°C in December with 95% confidence level, 1.36°C in January with 99% confidence level, and 1.60°C in February with 99% confidence level, respectively. Interestingly there is no RS in warm winter with 95% confidence level while there is a clear RS in cold winter with 99% confidence level, especially in December and January (DJ), indicating that the RS of winter temperature is mainly due to an abrupt temperature shift in December and January after the RS. Composite analysis suggests that abrupt shift in January after the RS is related to the reduction in sea level pressure (SLP) between Siberian high and Aleutian low, leading to anomalous southerly. However, abrupt shift in December is closely related to the propagation of Rossby wave spanning from the weakening of Ural high to negative anomaly over the North Pacific via high pressure anomaly over the Korean Peninsula, leading to adiabatic heating. Wave activity flux analysis suggests that the abrupt shift of DJ and the associated high pressure anomaly over the Korean Peninsula is induced by the propagation of Rossby wave spanning from North Atlantic Ocean to the Korean Peninsula via the Arctic, especially in cold winter.

This study examined the regime shifts in the temperature difference between Daegu and Jeju for the month of August using a Markov regime switching model. Using the long-term time series of averaged monthly temperature in August for 1923- 2015, we found the two regimes in the temperature difference with the regime shift taking place in 1952. The first regime, which spans the period from 1923 to 1951, is identified as Daegu, on average, being 0.2°C hotter than Jeju. The second regime, which starts in 1952 and persists until 2015, is characterized as the average temperature of Jeju being 0.4°C higher than that of Daegu. The results are consistent with a regime shift in the temperature of Jeju itself from a low temperature regime to a high temperature regime.