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국내 제조업종에서의 지정폐기물 발생량 예측에 관한 연구 KCI 등재

A Study on the Forecasting of Specified Waste in Manufacturing Industry

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한국폐기물자원순환학회지 (Journal of Korea Society of Waste Management)
한국폐기물자원순환학회 (Korea Society Of Waste Management)
초록

According to “Korea Environment Corporation (KECO): Statistical data of specified waste generation and treatment,” the amount of designated waste generated in 2015 was 4,691,532 tons, which is 51.7% higher than the 3,092,591 tons generated in 2005, and the annual output is steadily increasing by 3.25%. Therefore, in order to properly manage the specified wastes, it is necessary to divide them according to the type of industry and waste type and to evaluate the trend of specified waste generation in advance and establish a specified waste management plan. However, due to the statistical data collection and administrative procedures, the timing of the publication of national statistical data is somewhat delayed after the actual generation of specified waste. Since the “National Waste Comprehensive Plan” assumes that GDP and manufacturing output will increase by 4% every year and predicts the amount of specified waste generation in the future, there is a great deal of pressure to use this in the actual field. In this study, we analyzed the correlation between the production index, which is an economic index indicating the change in the output of the products produced by the industry, and the specified waste generation amount. Based on the actual production index, the specified waste statistics for 2017 were predicted and compared with the estimated amount and the actual amount for the 2010 ~ 2015 period.

목차
I. 서 론
 II. 연구방법
  1. 발생량 예측 대상
  2. 발생량 예측을 위한 가정
  3. 발생량 예측 방법
 III. 결과 및 고찰
  1. 회귀분석 결과
  2. 오차추정 분석
  3. 2017년 발생량 예측
 IV. 결 론
 References
저자
  • 김성우(인하대학교 환경·안전융합대학원, Department of Environment and Safety Technology Convergence, Inha University) | Sung Woo Kim
  • 황용우(인하대학교 환경공학과, Department, of Environmental Engineering, Inha University) | Yong Woo Hwang Corresponding author
  • 이익모(인하대학교 환경·안전융합대학원, Department of Environment and Safety Technology Convergence, Inha University) | Ik Mo Lee
  • 천영우(인하대학교 환경·안전융합대학원, Department of Environment and Safety Technology Convergence, Inha University) | Young Woo Chun
  • 김준범(프랑스 트루아공대 환경정보기술학과, Environment & Information Technology(HETIC), University of Technology of Troyes, France) | Jun Beum Kim