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한반도에 영향을 미친 태풍 경로별 재해평가모형의 활용도 분석 KCI 등재

Analysis of the Availability of Risk Assessment Model for Typhoon Path which Affected Korean Peninsula

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한국환경과학회지 (Journal of Environmental Science International)
한국환경과학회 (The Korean Environmental Sciences Society)
초록

As a result of dividing typhoon that affected Korean Peninsular between 1999 and 2012 into 7 types of path and entering forecast field and analysis field of RDAPS, until 36 hours from the time of forecast, it is reliable to use the forecast field of RDAPS to predict typhoon and for each typhoon path, the difference between the forecast and the analysis shows normal distribution, which is usable for weather forecast until the 36th hour. In the 48th hour from the time of forecast, the difference of result depending on each typhoon path increased, which was analyzed to be due to errors in the forecast. It was expected that relatively reasonable results should be shown if the 36th hour forecast is used to predict the strength and distribution of strong wind. As a result of using Korean RAM and observing the difference of the maximum damage, reliability was secured up to 36 hours and after 48hours, it was expected that the fluctuation of results may become more severe.

목차
Abstract
 1. 서 론
 2. 자료 및 연구방법
 3. 결과 및 고찰
  3.1. 3-second gust 예측에 있어 입력 자료의 적합성
  3.2. 최대피해액 예측에 있어 입력 자료의 적합성
  3.3. 태풍시기 강풍에 의한 피해 규모 특성
 4. 결 론
 감사의 글
 REFERENCES
저자
  • 박종길(인제대학교 환경공학과/대기환경정보연구센터, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering/Atmospheric Environment Information Research Center, Inje University) | Jong-Kil Park
  • 이보람(한국기상산업진흥원, Korea Meteorological Industry Promotion Agency) | Bo-Ram Lee
  • 정우식(인제대학교 대기환경정보공학과/대기환경정보연구센터, Department of Atmospheric Environment Information Engineering/Atmospheric Environment Information Research Center, Inje University) | Woo-Sik Jung Corresponding author