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A Study on Factors in Increasing Chonsei Price and Housing Lease Finance through a Dynamic Analysis KCI 등재

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사회적질연구 (Korean Journal of Social Quality)
한국사회적질학회 (Korean Association on Social Quality)
초록

In this paper, we investigate if the increasing Chonsei price is directly affected by housing lease financing. We use monthly Chonsei price, buy and sell price, industry price index, liquidity aggregates of finance institutions (Lf), lease guarantee ratio, and mortgage rate, and they are from January, 2008 to August, 2013. As a result, we find that all variables are non-stationary and those variables have co-integration relationship to one another. The result of the Granger causality shows that there exist exogenous relationships in industry price index, Lf, mortgage rate, lease guarantee ratio, Chonsei price, and buy and sell price. When we implement the VECM, the Chonsei price response permanently positive if one unit of standard deviation of the lease guarantee ratio increases. The explanation ratio of the Chonsei price is influenced by the rank of Chonsei price itself, mortgage rate, lease guarantee ratio, industrial production index, Lf, and buy and sell price. Therefore, we can conclude that housing lease finance has a direct influence on the Chonsei price.

목차
ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
  Figure 1. The Trends of Fluctuations in Chonsei Prices by Housing Type (National)
 PRECEDING STUDIES
 MODELS
 EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS
  Impulse Response Function
  Variance Decomposition
 CONCLUSION
 REFERENCES
저자
  • I-un JO(Business School, aSSIST)