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Development of a Runoff Forecasting Model Using Artificial Intelligence

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한국환경과학회지 (Journal of Environmental Science International)
한국환경과학회 (The Korean Environmental Sciences Society)
초록

This study is aimed at the development of a runoff forecasting model to solve the uncertainties occurring in the process of rainfall-runoff modeling and improve the modeling accuracy of the stream runoff forecasting. The study area is the downstream of Naeseung-chun. Therefore, time-dependent data was obtained from the Wolpo water level gauging station. 11 and 2 out of total 13 flood events were selected for the training and testing set of model. The model performance was improved as the measuring time interval(Tm) was smaller than the sampling time interval(Ts). The Neuro-Fuzzy(NF) and TANK models can give more accurate runoff forecasts up to 4 hours ahead than the Feed Forward Multilayer Neural Network(FFNN) model in standard above the Determination coefficient(R2) 0.7.

저자
  • 임기석(경상북도청 수질보전과) | Kee Seok Lim Corresponding Author
  • 허창환(한국환경정책 평가연구원) | Chang Hwan Heo