논문 상세보기

서해 어획대상 잠재생산량 추정을 위한 자원평가모델의 비교 분석 KCI 등재

Comparative analysis of stock assessment models for analyzing potential yield of fishery resources in the West Sea, Korea

  • 언어KOR
  • URLhttps://db.koreascholar.com/Article/Detail/379045
구독 기관 인증 시 무료 이용이 가능합니다. 4,200원
수산해양기술연구 (Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology)
한국수산해양기술학회(구 한국어업기술학회) (The Korean Society of Fisheriers and Ocean Technology)
초록

This study is aimed to compare stock assessment models depending on how the models fit to observed data. Process-error model, Observation-error model, and Bayesian state-space model for the Korean Western coast fisheries were applied for comparison. Analytical results show that there is the least error between the estimated CPUE and the observed CPUE with the Bayesian state-space model; consequently, results of the Bayesian state-space model are the most reliable. According to the Bayesian State-space model, potential yield of fishery resources in the West Sea of Korea is estimated to be 231,949 tons per year. However, the results show that the fishery resources of West Sea have been decreasing since 1967. In addition, the amounts of stock in 2013 are assessed to be only 36% of the stock biomass at MSY level. Therefore, policy efforts are needed to recover the fishery resources of West Sea of Korea.

목차
서 론
재료 및 방법
    분석 자료
    자원동태 모델(잉여생산량 모델)
    관측오차 모델
    State-space 모델
    모델 검정
    결과 및 고찰
    관측오차 모델
    State-space 모델
    분석 결과 비교
결 론
Reference
저자
  • 최민제(부경대학교 대학원 해양수산경영학과) | Min-Je CHOI (Department of Marine & Fisheries Business and Economics, Graduate school, Pukyong National University)
  • 김도훈(부경대학교 해양수산경영학과) | Do-Hoon KIM (Department of Marine & Fisheries Business and Economics, Pukyong National University) Corresponding author
  • 최지훈(국립수산과학원 연근해자원과) | Ji-Hoon CHOI (Coastal Water Fisheries Resources Research Division, National Institute of Fisheries Science)