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A Risk-Return Analysis of Loan Portfolio Diversification in the Vietnamese Banking System KCI 등재 SCOPUS

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한국유통과학회 (Korea Distribution Science Association)
초록

The study empirically examines the effects of loan portfolio diversification on bank risk and return in the nascent banking market of Vietnam. Loan portfolio diversification is captured through the Hirschman-Herfindahl index and the Shannon Entropy with sectoral exposures. We access each bank’s financial reports to collect the required data, especially the breakdown of sectoral loan portfolios, thus constituting a unique dataset. To compute bank return, we use the traditional accounting indicators, including return-on-assets, return-on-equity, and net-interest margin. For bank risk, we utilize the loan-loss provisions and non-performing loans relative to gross customer loans. Using a sample of 30 commercial banks over the period from 2008 to 2019 and the system generalized method of moments estimator for the dynamic panel, we indicate the downsides of portfolio diversification. Concretely, we observe that all diversification measures exhibit significantly negative signs in all regressions across different bank return proxies. At the same time, the estimates display the significant and positive impact of diversification on the non-performing loan ratio. Hence, sectoral loan portfolio diversification significantly hampers bank performance in both aspects of lower return and higher credit risk. The results are robust across a rich set of bank performance and portfolio diversification measures.

목차
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
3. Methodology and Data
    3.1. Variables
    3.2. Model Specification and Regression Method
    3.3. Data
4. Results and Discussion
    4.1. Loan Portfolio Diversification and Bank Return
    4.2. Loan Portfolio Diversification and Bank Risk
5. Conclusions
References
저자
  • Japan HUYNH(Department of Postgraduate, Banking University of Ho Chi Minh City) Corresponding Author
  • Van Dan DANG(Department of Finance, Banking University of Ho Chi Minh City)