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순서형 프로빗 모형을 활용한 도로변 고정 장애물 교통사고 심각도 추정 KCI 등재

Estimation of Roadside Fixed Object Traffic Accident Severity Using Ordered Probit Model

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한국도로학회논문집 (International journal of highway engineering)
한국도로학회 (Korean Society of Road Engineers)
초록

PURPOSES : For vehicle-alone accidents with a high mortality rate, it is necessary to analyze the factors influencing the severity of roadside fixed-object traffic accidents.
METHODS : A total of 313 roadside fixed obstacle traffic accidents, variables related to fixed obstacles, and variables related to road geometry were collected. The estimation model was constructed with data collected using an ordinal probit regression model.
RESULTS : Piers, vertical slopes, and distances between roads and objects were the primary causes of increased accident severity.
CONCLUSIONS : Countermeasures, such as object removal, relocation, clear zones, frangibles, breakaway poles, etc., are required for accident-prone or dangerous points.

목차
ABSTRACT
1. 서론
    1.1. 연구의 배경 및 목적
    1.2. 연구의 내용
2. 기존문헌 고찰
    2.1. 도로변 교통사고 심각도 관련 연구
    2.2. 도로변 교통사고 영향요인 관련 연구
    2.3. 교통사고 심각도 예측모형 관련 연구
3. 방법론 정립 및 자료 수집
    3.1. 분석 방법론 정립
    3.2. 변수선정 및 자료수집
    3.3. 수집자료의 기초통계분석
    3.4. 수집변수의 상관분석
4. 고정장애물 충돌사고 심각도 추정 결과
    4.1. 추정 결과
    4.2. 모형 검증 결과
5. 결론
REFERENCES
저자
  • 임준범(한국교통안전공단 교통안전연구처) | Lim Joonbum
  • 김형규(한국건설기술연구원 미래융합연구본부) | Kim Hyungkyu 교신저자
  • 김경태((주)삼보기술단 도로사업본부) | Kim Kyoungtae
  • 신소명(서울시립대학교 교통공학과) | Shin Somyoung
  • 이혜린(서울시립대학교 교통공학과) | Lee Hyerin