In this study, the biogeochemistry management (BGC-MAN) model was applied to North and South Korea pine and oak forest stands to evaluate the Net Primary Productivity (NPP), an indicator of forest ecosystem productivity. For meteorological information, historical records and East Asian climate scenario data of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) were used. For vegetation information, pine (Pinus densiflora) and oak (Quercus spp.) forest stands were selected at the Gwangneung and Seolmacheon in South Korea and Sariwon, Sohung, Haeju, Jongju, and Wonsan, which are known to have tree nurseries in North Korea. Among the biophysical information, we used the elevation model for topographic data such as longitude, altitude, and slope direction, and the global soil database for soil data. For management factors, we considered the destruction of forests in North and South Korea due to the Korean War in 1950 and the subsequent reforestation process. The overall mean value of simulated NPP from 1991 to 2100 was 5.17 Mg C ha-1, with a range of 3.30-8.19 Mg C ha-1. In addition, increased variability in climate scenarios resulted in variations in forest productivity, with a notable decline in the growth of pine forests. The applicability of the BGC-MAN model to the Korean Peninsula was examined at a time when the ecosystem process-based models were becoming increasingly important due to climate change. In this study, the data on the effects of climate change disturbances on forest ecosystems that was analyzed was limited; therefore, future modeling methods should be improved to simulate more precise ecosystem changes across the Korean Peninsula through processbased models.

1. 서 론
2. 재료 및 방법
    2.1. 연구 대상지
    2.2. 연구 재료
    2.3. 연구 방법
3. 결 과
    3.1. 대상지별 산림생태계 생산성
    3.2. 문헌 기반 선행 연구와의 결과 비교
    3.3. 위성영상 기반 생산성 산출물과의 결과 비교
4. 고 찰
5. 결 론
적 요
CRediT authorship contribution statement
Declaration of Competing Interest
사 사
REFERENCES

• 송철호(고려대학교 오정리질리언스연구원) | Cholho Song (OJEong Resilience Institute, Korea University, Seoul 02841, Republic of Korea)
• 최현아(고려대학교 오정리질리언스연구원, 한스자이델재단 한국사무소) | Hyun-Ah Choi (OJEong Resilience Institute, Korea University, Seoul 02841, Republic of Korea, Hanns Seidel Foundation, Korea Office, Seoul 04491, Republic of Korea)
• 손지원(고려대학교 환경생태공학과) | Jiwon Son (Department of Environmental Science and Ecological Engineering, Korea University, Seoul 02841, Republic of Korea)
• 고영진(고려대학교 환경생태공학과) | Youngjin Ko (Department of Environmental Science and Ecological Engineering, Korea University, Seoul 02841, Republic of Korea)
• Stephan A. Pietsch(국제응용시스템분석연구소)
• 이우균(고려대학교 오정리질리언스연구원, 고려대학교 환경생태공학과) | Woo-Kyun Lee (OJEong Resilience Institute, Korea University, Seoul 02841, Republic of Korea, Department of Environmental Science and Ecological Engineering, Korea University, Seoul 02841, Republic of Korea) Corresponding author