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Future Nuclear Security Strategy and Policy Based on the Analysis of Nuclear Security Consultative Group Cases
To mark the 70th anniversary of the alliance between South Korea and the United States, President Yoon Seok-youl of South Korea and President Joseph R. Biden of the United States convened at the White House, adopting the pivotal “Washington Declaration.” This significant act paved the way for the establishment and institutionalization of the ROK-US Nuclear Consultative Group (NCG). The NCG is envisioned as a mechanism to address North Korea’s nuclear threat, striving for nuclear sharing and a nuclear defense system, thereby alleviating concerns about nuclear security. The NCG is perceived as a crucial advancement in the realm of ‘tailored extended deterrence’ on the Korean Peninsula. However, its operational scope and efficacy remain subjects of debate within South Korea. A comparative analysis with other consultative entities, such as NATO’s Nuclear Planning Group (NPG) and Extended Deterrence Strategy Consultative Group (EDSCG), raises questions about NCG’s unique contributions and potential functional overlaps. Furthermore, the establishment of the NCG represents a notable progression in the strengthened ROK-US alliance. This progression coincides with the resumption of large-scale joint nuclear security military exercises under the new administrations of both nations. Anticipated future operations within the NCG framework encompass the continual deployment of strategic assets and the execution of nuclear simulation exercises. Such actions serve not merely as a deterrent message to North Korea but also aim to instill confidence in the US’s commitment to extended deterrence among the South Korean populace. This study aims to highlight the significance and implications of the ROK-US Nuclear Consultative Group (NCG) through an exhaustive comparative analysis of existing nuclear security consultative bodies and pertinent nuclear security policies. Moreover, this research emphasizes strategies to boost the NCG’s effectiveness, the necessity for policy enhancements to foster South Korea’s nuclear security autonomy, and the importance of raising nuclear security awareness among the general public.
