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Prediction of Distribution Coefficient of Cesium Using Machine Learning Models
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Radioactive contaminants, such as 137Cs, are a significant concern for long-term storage of nuclear waste. Migration and retention of these contaminants in various environmental media can pose a risk to the surrounding environment. The distribution coefficient (Kd) is a critical parameter for assessing the behavior of these contaminants and can introduce significant errors in predicting migration and remediation options. Accurate prediction of Kd values is essential to assess the behavior of radioactive contaminants and to ensure environmental safety. In this study, we present machine learning models based on the Japan Atomic Energy Agency Sorption Database (JAEA-SDB) to predict Kd values for Cs in soils. We used three different machine learning models, namely the random forest (RF), artificial neural network (ANN), and convolutional neural network (CNN), to predict Kd values. The models were trained on 14 input variables from the JAEA-SDB, including factors such as Cs concentration, solid phase properties, and solution conditions which are preprocessed by normalization and log transformation. We evaluated the performance of our models using the coefficient of determination (R2) value. The RF, ANN, and CNN models achieved R2 values of over 0.97, 0.86, and 0.88, respectively. Additionally, we analyzed the variable importance of RF using out-of-bag (OOB) and CNN with an attention module. Our results showed that the initial radionuclide concentration and properties of solid phase were important variables for Kd prediction. Our machine learning models provide accurate predictions of Kd values for different soil conditions. The Kd values predicted by our models can be used to assess the behavior of radioactive contaminants in various environmental media. This can help in predicting the potential migration and retention of contaminants in soils and the selection of appropriate site remediation options. Our study provides a reliable and efficient method for predicting Kd values that can be used in environmental risk assessment and waste management.
