본 논문은 독일의 에너지 전환 정책이 경제성장과 화석연료 의존도에 미친 영향을 분석하며, 특히 그린플레이션과 화석연료플레이션에 중점을 둔다. 본 논문은 2010년부터 2022년까지의 분기별 데이터를 활용하여, 화석연료 가격(브렌트유 및 천연가스)과 주요 경제지표(가계 전기요금, 소비자물가지수, GDP 성장률) 간의 관계를 상관관계 분석과 다중회귀분 석으로 평가하였다. 분석 결과, 천연가스 가격과 가계 전기요금 간에는 0.85의 강한 양의 상관관계가 확인되어, 천연가스 가격 상승이 직접적으 로 전기요금 상승에 영향을 미쳤음을 보여준다. 또한, 천연가스 가격과 소비자물가지수 간에도 0.72의 유의미한 양의 상관관계가 나타나, 화석 연료 가격 상승이 물가상승 압력을 가중시킴을 시사하였다. 반면, 화석연 료 가격과 GDP 성장률 간에는 -0.56의 음의 상관관계가 나타나, 에너지 비용 상승이 경제성장에 부정적 영향을 미쳤음을 보여준다. 다중회귀분 석 결과, 천연가스 가격이 가계 전기요금에 미치는 영향은 브렌트유 가 격보다 더 강력한 것으로 확인되었으며, 이는 독일의 에너지 구조가 천 연가스 의존도가 높음을 반영한다. 이러한 결과는 에너지 공급망 다변화 와 재생 가능 에너지 확대를 통해 에너지 안보를 강화하고 화석연료 의 존도를 줄이는 것이 중요함을 시사한다.

Research on strategic orientations has mainly focused on Western countries, leaving findings an open issue for other contexts, such as transitional economies. In these economies competition is likely to be fluid and new entrants are approaching the market which offers new perspectives on the strategic orientation-context link. However, extant literature on strategic management has mostly studied short term adaption events or single cases, and to more accurately account for the dynamic process of economic transition, strategic research has to focus on how firms co-evolve with the changing environment. Extending previous work, we investigate the process of firms’ co-evolution with their environment over the last two decades of economic transition in Hungary. Results show that there has been a significant increase in perceived market turbulence, technological turbulence and competitive intensity as the Hungarian economy enters the later phase of economic transition. However, firms do not perceive this change in the environment and do not respond to it by allocating more resources on customer and competitor orientation.

This paper examines the factors that drive temporal income diversification in rural areas of the Mekong River Delta in Vietnam, based on a framework that conceptualized diversification as a function of a household’s capacity to diversify and incentives (both push and pull factors) to diversify. Drawing from five rounds of the Vietnam Living Standard Measurement Surveys covering a 13-year span (1993-2006), two panel datasets made from five cross-sectional samples are used for the analyses. The data are drawn from the Vietnam General Statistics Office. Both tobit model and Ordinary Least Squares model with random and fixed effects are applied. The main points emerging from the analysis is that income diversification is strongly influenced by household labor capacity. The relationship between household labor capacity and increasing insertion in non-farming wage activities is not driven by unobserved time-invariant factors such as household ability and motivation, but is instead driven by the higher labor capacity of households. In terms of the other household capacity variables, the effect of farm size is much larger in terms of retaining households in traditional occupations as compared to pushing them towards non-farm wage employment. Other variables such as household access to financial capital do not play an important role.

The paper aims to investigate the interactions between rule of law, economic growth and the shadow economy in 18 selected transition economies. This study uses annual data over the period 2002-2015 for 18 transition countries to estimate the effects of rule of law and other factors on the size of shadow economy. The transition country group is classified based on International Monetary Fund resources and is selected on the basis of the availability of data. The data examined in this research are derived from the World Bank, Worldwide Governance Indicators project and Working Paper from International Monetary Fund. This study employs GMM method. The results show that the economic growth indicators have negative and statistically significant impact on the shadow economy. Additionally, these results also reveal that in transition countries the size of shadow economy is negatively related to the quality of rule of law. However, the findings of this research also point out that there are positive relationships between inflation, public expenditure and the size of shadow economy. Hence the results from this study suggest that the size of shadow economy could be controlled by improving the effectiveness of rule of law and the growth of economy particularly in transition countries.